The fragmented Brazilian right keeps the contest for third place in the October 2026 first round tightly contested, with trader consensus assigning Romeu Zema a narrow edge over Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado. Zema's established profile as Minas Gerais governor and Novo party standard-bearer provides regional backing, while Santos, as Missão party president and Free Brazil Movement co-founder, draws support from anti-corruption and libertarian-leaning voters. Caiado's recent PSD nomination adds another center-right option, yet persistent vote-splitting among these figures and limited national polling separation sustain the close market positioning. Party conventions scheduled before August and new survey data on voter consolidation could widen gaps before the first-round vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트로메우 제마 33%
레난 산투스 32%
호날두 카이아두 18%
미셸 보우소나루 4.8%
$283,028 거래량
$283,028 거래량

로메우 제마
33%

레난 산투스
32%

호날두 카이아두
18%

미셸 보우소나루
5%

페르난두 아다지
4%

플라비우 보우소나루
3%

루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바
1%

카밀루 산타나
1%

헤랄도 알크민
1%

자이르 보우소나루
1%

에두아르두 레이트
1%

Tereza Cristina
<1%

타르시지우 드 프레이타스
<1%

에두아르두 볼소나루
<1%

알도 헤벨루
<1%

하치뉴 주니오르
<1%

헬더르 바르발류
<1%
로메우 제마 33%
레난 산투스 32%
호날두 카이아두 18%
미셸 보우소나루 4.8%
$283,028 거래량
$283,028 거래량

로메우 제마
33%

레난 산투스
32%

호날두 카이아두
18%

미셸 보우소나루
5%

페르난두 아다지
4%

플라비우 보우소나루
3%

루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바
1%

카밀루 산타나
1%

헤랄도 알크민
1%

자이르 보우소나루
1%

에두아르두 레이트
1%

Tereza Cristina
<1%

타르시지우 드 프레이타스
<1%

에두아르두 볼소나루
<1%

알도 헤벨루
<1%

하치뉴 주니오르
<1%

헬더르 바르발류
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
마켓 개설일: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The fragmented Brazilian right keeps the contest for third place in the October 2026 first round tightly contested, with trader consensus assigning Romeu Zema a narrow edge over Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado. Zema's established profile as Minas Gerais governor and Novo party standard-bearer provides regional backing, while Santos, as Missão party president and Free Brazil Movement co-founder, draws support from anti-corruption and libertarian-leaning voters. Caiado's recent PSD nomination adds another center-right option, yet persistent vote-splitting among these figures and limited national polling separation sustain the close market positioning. Party conventions scheduled before August and new survey data on voter consolidation could widen gaps before the first-round vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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