**Recent USDA-APHIS confirmations show New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) spreading beyond initial South Texas detections.** The first U.S. case since the 1960s was a calf in Zavala County on June 3, 2026, followed by additional livestock cases (cattle, goats, sheep) across Texas counties including La Salle and Gillespie. By mid-June, confirmed animal cases reached about 12, including in Lea County, New Mexico, with larvae infesting wounds in warm-blooded hosts. Official surveillance via trapping, quarantines in 20 km zones, and sterile insect technique releases aims to contain northward movement from Mexico outbreaks. Key upcoming factors include APHIS dashboard updates on new detections, model consensus on dispersal risk, and any revised case thresholds or geographic criteria that could influence market resolution. Trader sentiment reflects the pace of verified spread versus containment efficacy under active federal response.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
6월 30일
18%
8월 30일
38%
10월 31일
36%
12월 31일
37%
$2,413 거래량
6월 30일
$722 거래량
18%
8월 30일
$990 거래량
38%
10월 31일
$316 거래량
36%
12월 31일
$385 거래량
37%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**Recent USDA-APHIS confirmations show New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) spreading beyond initial South Texas detections.** The first U.S. case since the 1960s was a calf in Zavala County on June 3, 2026, followed by additional livestock cases (cattle, goats, sheep) across Texas counties including La Salle and Gillespie. By mid-June, confirmed animal cases reached about 12, including in Lea County, New Mexico, with larvae infesting wounds in warm-blooded hosts. Official surveillance via trapping, quarantines in 20 km zones, and sterile insect technique releases aims to contain northward movement from Mexico outbreaks. Key upcoming factors include APHIS dashboard updates on new detections, model consensus on dispersal risk, and any revised case thresholds or geographic criteria that could influence market resolution. Trader sentiment reflects the pace of verified spread versus containment efficacy under active federal response.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
마켓 개설일: Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
거래량
$2,413마켓 개설일
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**Recent USDA-APHIS confirmations show New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) spreading beyond initial South Texas detections.** The first U.S. case since the 1960s was a calf in Zavala County on June 3, 2026, followed by additional livestock cases (cattle, goats, sheep) across Texas counties including La Salle and Gillespie. By mid-June, confirmed animal cases reached about 12, including in Lea County, New Mexico, with larvae infesting wounds in warm-blooded hosts. Official surveillance via trapping, quarantines in 20 km zones, and sterile insect technique releases aims to contain northward movement from Mexico outbreaks. Key upcoming factors include APHIS dashboard updates on new detections, model consensus on dispersal risk, and any revised case thresholds or geographic criteria that could influence market resolution. Trader sentiment reflects the pace of verified spread versus containment efficacy under active federal response.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
거래량
$2,413마켓 개설일
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent USDA-APHIS confirmations show New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) spreading beyond initial South Texas detections.** The first U.S. case since the 1960s was a calf in Zavala County on June 3, 2026, followed by additional livestock cases (cattle, goats, sheep) across Texas counties including La Salle and Gillespie. By mid-June, confirmed animal cases reached about 12, including in Lea County, New Mexico, with larvae infesting wounds in warm-blooded hosts. Official surveillance via trapping, quarantines in 20 km zones, and sterile insect technique releases aims to contain northward movement from Mexico outbreaks. Key upcoming factors include APHIS dashboard updates on new detections, model consensus on dispersal risk, and any revised case thresholds or geographic criteria that could influence market resolution. Trader sentiment reflects the pace of verified spread versus containment efficacy under active federal response.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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