Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current presidential term extends through May 2028 under Turkey’s constitution, with no scheduled elections or constitutional mechanisms for early removal before the end of 2026. Recent developments reinforce this timeline, including his January 2026 declaration of a “year of reform,” ongoing diplomatic engagements, and parliamentary progress on Kurdish peace initiatives as of April. Allegations of health concerns from early 2026 produced no official confirmation, leadership transition, or incapacity proceedings. Trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% implied probability for “No” aligns with the absence of viable snap-election calls, impeachment pathways, or opposition momentum capable of altering the outcome within the resolution window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$348,914 거래량
$348,914 거래량
2026.12.31
4% 수익
예
$348,914 거래량
$348,914 거래량
2026.12.31
4% 수익
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current presidential term extends through May 2028 under Turkey’s constitution, with no scheduled elections or constitutional mechanisms for early removal before the end of 2026. Recent developments reinforce this timeline, including his January 2026 declaration of a “year of reform,” ongoing diplomatic engagements, and parliamentary progress on Kurdish peace initiatives as of April. Allegations of health concerns from early 2026 produced no official confirmation, leadership transition, or incapacity proceedings. Trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% implied probability for “No” aligns with the absence of viable snap-election calls, impeachment pathways, or opposition momentum capable of altering the outcome within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
거래량
$348,914종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current presidential term extends through May 2028 under Turkey’s constitution, with no scheduled elections or constitutional mechanisms for early removal before the end of 2026. Recent developments reinforce this timeline, including his January 2026 declaration of a “year of reform,” ongoing diplomatic engagements, and parliamentary progress on Kurdish peace initiatives as of April. Allegations of health concerns from early 2026 produced no official confirmation, leadership transition, or incapacity proceedings. Trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% implied probability for “No” aligns with the absence of viable snap-election calls, impeachment pathways, or opposition momentum capable of altering the outcome within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$348,914종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current presidential term extends through May 2028 under Turkey’s constitution, with no scheduled elections or constitutional mechanisms for early removal before the end of 2026. Recent developments reinforce this timeline, including his January 2026 declaration of a “year of reform,” ongoing diplomatic engagements, and parliamentary progress on Kurdish peace initiatives as of April. Allegations of health concerns from early 2026 produced no official confirmation, leadership transition, or incapacity proceedings. Trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% implied probability for “No” aligns with the absence of viable snap-election calls, impeachment pathways, or opposition momentum capable of altering the outcome within the resolution window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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