Florida's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, favors the GOP nominee heavily in trader consensus, with Republican Party shares at 83.5% reflecting the district's partisan voting history of double-digit Republican margins since 2010. Incumbent Neal Dunn's January retirement opened the seat, drawing a crowded 10-candidate Republican primary led in fundraising by Keith Gross ($5.1 million cash on hand as of late March), alongside contenders like Evan Power and Austin Rogers, while Democrats field four lesser-funded rivals. Democrat Yen Bailey's milestone qualification via 4,000+ voter signatures this week underscores limited opposition strength in the R-leaning North Florida seat spanning Tallahassee to Panama City. Primaries on August 18 could consolidate the GOP field ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
17%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$4,278 거래량
84%
Democratic Party
$2,632 거래량
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, favors the GOP nominee heavily in trader consensus, with Republican Party shares at 83.5% reflecting the district's partisan voting history of double-digit Republican margins since 2010. Incumbent Neal Dunn's January retirement opened the seat, drawing a crowded 10-candidate Republican primary led in fundraising by Keith Gross ($5.1 million cash on hand as of late March), alongside contenders like Evan Power and Austin Rogers, while Democrats field four lesser-funded rivals. Democrat Yen Bailey's milestone qualification via 4,000+ voter signatures this week underscores limited opposition strength in the R-leaning North Florida seat spanning Tallahassee to Panama City. Primaries on August 18 could consolidate the GOP field ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
거래량
$6,910종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, favors the GOP nominee heavily in trader consensus, with Republican Party shares at 83.5% reflecting the district's partisan voting history of double-digit Republican margins since 2010. Incumbent Neal Dunn's January retirement opened the seat, drawing a crowded 10-candidate Republican primary led in fundraising by Keith Gross ($5.1 million cash on hand as of late March), alongside contenders like Evan Power and Austin Rogers, while Democrats field four lesser-funded rivals. Democrat Yen Bailey's milestone qualification via 4,000+ voter signatures this week underscores limited opposition strength in the R-leaning North Florida seat spanning Tallahassee to Panama City. Primaries on August 18 could consolidate the GOP field ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$6,910종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, favors the GOP nominee heavily in trader consensus, with Republican Party shares at 83.5% reflecting the district's partisan voting history of double-digit Republican margins since 2010. Incumbent Neal Dunn's January retirement opened the seat, drawing a crowded 10-candidate Republican primary led in fundraising by Keith Gross ($5.1 million cash on hand as of late March), alongside contenders like Evan Power and Austin Rogers, while Democrats field four lesser-funded rivals. Democrat Yen Bailey's milestone qualification via 4,000+ voter signatures this week underscores limited opposition strength in the R-leaning North Florida seat spanning Tallahassee to Panama City. Primaries on August 18 could consolidate the GOP field ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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