Incumbent Republican Greg Steube's bid for reelection in Florida's 17th Congressional District, bolstered by a newly approved redistricting map favoring Republicans 24-4 statewide, anchors trader consensus at 87.5% for a GOP win. Late April developments—Gov. DeSantis's proposed map passed by the legislature on April 29, retaining 85% of the prior district with a Cook PVI of R+11—solidified its Solid Republican status per Inside Elections and Lean R per The Economist as of early May. Steube's April 30 announcement, robust fundraising exceeding $1 million, and his 2024 30-point margin reflect low Democratic recruitment, pricing the challenger at 10.5%. Primaries on August 18 could introduce variables, though structural advantages persist absent major shifts like scandals or high-profile opponents.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
11%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$4,412 거래량
88%
Democratic Party
$2,747 거래량
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Steube's bid for reelection in Florida's 17th Congressional District, bolstered by a newly approved redistricting map favoring Republicans 24-4 statewide, anchors trader consensus at 87.5% for a GOP win. Late April developments—Gov. DeSantis's proposed map passed by the legislature on April 29, retaining 85% of the prior district with a Cook PVI of R+11—solidified its Solid Republican status per Inside Elections and Lean R per The Economist as of early May. Steube's April 30 announcement, robust fundraising exceeding $1 million, and his 2024 30-point margin reflect low Democratic recruitment, pricing the challenger at 10.5%. Primaries on August 18 could introduce variables, though structural advantages persist absent major shifts like scandals or high-profile opponents.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
거래량
$7,159종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Steube's bid for reelection in Florida's 17th Congressional District, bolstered by a newly approved redistricting map favoring Republicans 24-4 statewide, anchors trader consensus at 87.5% for a GOP win. Late April developments—Gov. DeSantis's proposed map passed by the legislature on April 29, retaining 85% of the prior district with a Cook PVI of R+11—solidified its Solid Republican status per Inside Elections and Lean R per The Economist as of early May. Steube's April 30 announcement, robust fundraising exceeding $1 million, and his 2024 30-point margin reflect low Democratic recruitment, pricing the challenger at 10.5%. Primaries on August 18 could introduce variables, though structural advantages persist absent major shifts like scandals or high-profile opponents.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$7,159종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Steube's bid for reelection in Florida's 17th Congressional District, bolstered by a newly approved redistricting map favoring Republicans 24-4 statewide, anchors trader consensus at 87.5% for a GOP win. Late April developments—Gov. DeSantis's proposed map passed by the legislature on April 29, retaining 85% of the prior district with a Cook PVI of R+11—solidified its Solid Republican status per Inside Elections and Lean R per The Economist as of early May. Steube's April 30 announcement, robust fundraising exceeding $1 million, and his 2024 30-point margin reflect low Democratic recruitment, pricing the challenger at 10.5%. Primaries on August 18 could introduce variables, though structural advantages persist absent major shifts like scandals or high-profile opponents.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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