The U.S.-led Board of Peace framework, endorsed by the UN Security Council in late 2025, envisions an International Stabilization Force to oversee disarmament, aid delivery, and reconstruction in Gaza following the fragile October 2025 ceasefire. Recent developments include stalled troop deployments after Israel blocked site visits by pledged contributors from Indonesia, Morocco, Kazakhstan, Kosovo, and Albania in late April 2026, citing the need for prior Hamas weapons surrender and technocratic governance. U.S. officials closed their primary Gaza monitoring mission on May 1 amid faltering Phase 2 talks, while Cairo-mediated negotiations continue on sequencing Israeli withdrawals with verified disarmament. These procedural and security hurdles have kept trader-implied probabilities for near-term foreign police, security, or military operations low, with potential shifts hinging on verifiable progress in weapons handover or renewed violence.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$613,273 거래량

6월 30일
14%
$613,273 거래량

6월 30일
14%
The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Feb 18, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S.-led Board of Peace framework, endorsed by the UN Security Council in late 2025, envisions an International Stabilization Force to oversee disarmament, aid delivery, and reconstruction in Gaza following the fragile October 2025 ceasefire. Recent developments include stalled troop deployments after Israel blocked site visits by pledged contributors from Indonesia, Morocco, Kazakhstan, Kosovo, and Albania in late April 2026, citing the need for prior Hamas weapons surrender and technocratic governance. U.S. officials closed their primary Gaza monitoring mission on May 1 amid faltering Phase 2 talks, while Cairo-mediated negotiations continue on sequencing Israeli withdrawals with verified disarmament. These procedural and security hurdles have kept trader-implied probabilities for near-term foreign police, security, or military operations low, with potential shifts hinging on verifiable progress in weapons handover or renewed violence.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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