Guinea-Bissau’s National People’s Assembly election, rescheduled for December 2026 following the November 2025 coup that ousted President Umaro Sissoco Embaló and halted vote counting, shapes current trader sentiment. The electoral system’s preference for large coalitions gives Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” its leading position, as the group previously consolidated support around the incumbent amid the exclusion of major opposition forces like PAIGC. Smaller parties such as PT, FLING, PS, FREPASNA, and MUNDO-GB trail due to narrower bases and limited recent organizational momentum during the military-led transition. Ongoing constitutional reforms, coalition realignments, and preparations for inclusive voting remain the primary variables that could alter these probabilities before polling.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트기니비사우 전국인민대표대회 선거 승자
기니비사우 전국인민대표대회 선거 승자
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 35.0%
FLING 6.2%
PS 5.8%
FREPASNA 3.9%
$140,664 거래량
$140,664 거래량
2025.11.23
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
35%
FLING
6%
PS
6%
FREPASNA
4%
MUNDO-GB
3%
PT
10%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 35.0%
FLING 6.2%
PS 5.8%
FREPASNA 3.9%
$140,664 거래량
$140,664 거래량
2025.11.23
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
$39,663 거래량
35%
FLING
$11,905 거래량
6%
PS
$23,568 거래량
6%
FREPASNA
$23,723 거래량
4%
MUNDO-GB
$21,373 거래량
3%
PT
$20,432 거래량
10%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau’s National People’s Assembly election, rescheduled for December 2026 following the November 2025 coup that ousted President Umaro Sissoco Embaló and halted vote counting, shapes current trader sentiment. The electoral system’s preference for large coalitions gives Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” its leading position, as the group previously consolidated support around the incumbent amid the exclusion of major opposition forces like PAIGC. Smaller parties such as PT, FLING, PS, FREPASNA, and MUNDO-GB trail due to narrower bases and limited recent organizational momentum during the military-led transition. Ongoing constitutional reforms, coalition realignments, and preparations for inclusive voting remain the primary variables that could alter these probabilities before polling.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
마켓 개설일: Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
거래량
$140,664종료일
2025.11.23마켓 개설일
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau’s National People’s Assembly election, rescheduled for December 2026 following the November 2025 coup that ousted President Umaro Sissoco Embaló and halted vote counting, shapes current trader sentiment. The electoral system’s preference for large coalitions gives Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” its leading position, as the group previously consolidated support around the incumbent amid the exclusion of major opposition forces like PAIGC. Smaller parties such as PT, FLING, PS, FREPASNA, and MUNDO-GB trail due to narrower bases and limited recent organizational momentum during the military-led transition. Ongoing constitutional reforms, coalition realignments, and preparations for inclusive voting remain the primary variables that could alter these probabilities before polling.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
거래량
$140,664종료일
2025.11.23마켓 개설일
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Guinea-Bissau’s National People’s Assembly election, rescheduled for December 2026 following the November 2025 coup that ousted President Umaro Sissoco Embaló and halted vote counting, shapes current trader sentiment. The electoral system’s preference for large coalitions gives Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” its leading position, as the group previously consolidated support around the incumbent amid the exclusion of major opposition forces like PAIGC. Smaller parties such as PT, FLING, PS, FREPASNA, and MUNDO-GB trail due to narrower bases and limited recent organizational momentum during the military-led transition. Ongoing constitutional reforms, coalition realignments, and preparations for inclusive voting remain the primary variables that could alter these probabilities before polling.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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