National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago indicate a high temperature near 57°F on May 14 under mostly cloudy skies and north-northwest winds of 10-15 mph, driving trader consensus to 99.5% odds on 56°F or higher. This positioning reflects strong model agreement across GFS, ECMWF, and NAM ensembles, which show a stable cool air mass from recent northerly flow suppressing temperatures below seasonal norms of around 68°F. Observational data from Chicago O'Hare International Airport—where highs are officially measured—confirm persistent cloud cover and lack of significant warm advection in the latest 12-24 hour updates. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, scenarios challenging this include unexpected clearing leading to greater solar heating or a stalled front allowing southerly winds, though current guidance shows low likelihood before evening resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Chicago on May 14?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 14?
56°F or higher 99.4%
54-55°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
37°F or below <1%
신규
$47,025 거래량
신규
$47,025 거래량
2026.05.14
37°F or below
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56°F or higher
99%
56°F or higher 99.4%
54-55°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
37°F or below <1%
신규
$47,025 거래량
신규
$47,025 거래량
2026.05.14
37°F or below
$5,479 거래량
<1%
38-39°F
$2,982 거래량
<1%
40-41°F
$701 거래량
<1%
42-43°F
$2,150 거래량
<1%
44-45°F
$2,188 거래량
<1%
46-47°F
$2,198 거래량
<1%
48-49°F
$3,181 거래량
<1%
50-51°F
$2,508 거래량
<1%
52-53°F
$2,804 거래량
<1%
54-55°F
$4,465 거래량
<1%
56°F or higher
$18,511 거래량
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago indicate a high temperature near 57°F on May 14 under mostly cloudy skies and north-northwest winds of 10-15 mph, driving trader consensus to 99.5% odds on 56°F or higher. This positioning reflects strong model agreement across GFS, ECMWF, and NAM ensembles, which show a stable cool air mass from recent northerly flow suppressing temperatures below seasonal norms of around 68°F. Observational data from Chicago O'Hare International Airport—where highs are officially measured—confirm persistent cloud cover and lack of significant warm advection in the latest 12-24 hour updates. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, scenarios challenging this include unexpected clearing leading to greater solar heating or a stalled front allowing southerly winds, though current guidance shows low likelihood before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
거래량
$47,025종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago indicate a high temperature near 57°F on May 14 under mostly cloudy skies and north-northwest winds of 10-15 mph, driving trader consensus to 99.5% odds on 56°F or higher. This positioning reflects strong model agreement across GFS, ECMWF, and NAM ensembles, which show a stable cool air mass from recent northerly flow suppressing temperatures below seasonal norms of around 68°F. Observational data from Chicago O'Hare International Airport—where highs are officially measured—confirm persistent cloud cover and lack of significant warm advection in the latest 12-24 hour updates. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, scenarios challenging this include unexpected clearing leading to greater solar heating or a stalled front allowing southerly winds, though current guidance shows low likelihood before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$47,025종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts for Chicago indicate a high temperature near 57°F on May 14 under mostly cloudy skies and north-northwest winds of 10-15 mph, driving trader consensus to 99.5% odds on 56°F or higher. This positioning reflects strong model agreement across GFS, ECMWF, and NAM ensembles, which show a stable cool air mass from recent northerly flow suppressing temperatures below seasonal norms of around 68°F. Observational data from Chicago O'Hare International Airport—where highs are officially measured—confirm persistent cloud cover and lack of significant warm advection in the latest 12-24 hour updates. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, scenarios challenging this include unexpected clearing leading to greater solar heating or a stalled front allowing southerly winds, though current guidance shows low likelihood before evening resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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