Trader consensus on Polymarket fully prices in a highest temperature of 56°F or higher at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on May 14, driven by National Weather Service observations showing air temperatures already reaching 61°F by late morning under clear skies and light west-northwest winds. This follows a cool early May pattern with prior highs in the mid-50s, but a building ridge of high pressure has spurred rapid warming, aligning with the 70°F climatological normal for mid-May. Model ensembles from NOAA consistently projected highs near 60°F, with ample solar heating and no disruptive fronts. Realistic challenges are negligible post-noon, barring rare official data revisions, as daily maxima rarely dip below 50°F historically in May. Hourly updates from NWS will finalize the record.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Chicago on May 14?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 14?
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$69,597 거래량
$69,597 거래량
2026.05.14
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
Yes
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$69,597 거래량
$69,597 거래량
2026.05.14
37°F or below
$6,479 거래량
No
38-39°F
$2,982 거래량
No
40-41°F
$701 거래량
No
42-43°F
$2,150 거래량
No
44-45°F
$2,188 거래량
No
46-47°F
$2,198 거래량
No
48-49°F
$3,190 거래량
No
50-51°F
$2,508 거래량
No
52-53°F
$3,381 거래량
No
54-55°F
$4,709 거래량
No
56°F or higher
$39,110 거래량
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket fully prices in a highest temperature of 56°F or higher at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on May 14, driven by National Weather Service observations showing air temperatures already reaching 61°F by late morning under clear skies and light west-northwest winds. This follows a cool early May pattern with prior highs in the mid-50s, but a building ridge of high pressure has spurred rapid warming, aligning with the 70°F climatological normal for mid-May. Model ensembles from NOAA consistently projected highs near 60°F, with ample solar heating and no disruptive fronts. Realistic challenges are negligible post-noon, barring rare official data revisions, as daily maxima rarely dip below 50°F historically in May. Hourly updates from NWS will finalize the record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
거래량
$69,597종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket fully prices in a highest temperature of 56°F or higher at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on May 14, driven by National Weather Service observations showing air temperatures already reaching 61°F by late morning under clear skies and light west-northwest winds. This follows a cool early May pattern with prior highs in the mid-50s, but a building ridge of high pressure has spurred rapid warming, aligning with the 70°F climatological normal for mid-May. Model ensembles from NOAA consistently projected highs near 60°F, with ample solar heating and no disruptive fronts. Realistic challenges are negligible post-noon, barring rare official data revisions, as daily maxima rarely dip below 50°F historically in May. Hourly updates from NWS will finalize the record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$69,597종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket fully prices in a highest temperature of 56°F or higher at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on May 14, driven by National Weather Service observations showing air temperatures already reaching 61°F by late morning under clear skies and light west-northwest winds. This follows a cool early May pattern with prior highs in the mid-50s, but a building ridge of high pressure has spurred rapid warming, aligning with the 70°F climatological normal for mid-May. Model ensembles from NOAA consistently projected highs near 60°F, with ample solar heating and no disruptive fronts. Realistic challenges are negligible post-noon, barring rare official data revisions, as daily maxima rarely dip below 50°F historically in May. Hourly updates from NWS will finalize the record.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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