The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of 25°C on May 16, recorded under standard Stevenson screen protocols at urban stations, has driven near-certain trader consensus around this outcome amid clear subtropical high-pressure conditions that suppressed peak warming. Recent model consensus from regional forecasts had pointed to modest daytime highs in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning closely with observed data and historical May baselines for the region. This positioning reflects verified observational evidence rather than projections, with minimal scope for revision given the finalized meteorological records. Only an unlikely post-analysis adjustment to station data or reclassification of the measurement window could alter resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,754 거래량
$302,754 거래량
2026.05.16
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,754 거래량
$302,754 거래량
2026.05.16
19°C or below
$20,087 거래량
<1%
20°C
$12,423 거래량
<1%
21°C
$12,259 거래량
<1%
22°C
$6,633 거래량
<1%
23°C
$4,753 거래량
<1%
24°C
$37,336 거래량
<1%
25°C
$77,333 거래량
100%
26°C
$43,033 거래량
<1%
27°C
$39,652 거래량
<1%
28°C
$25,260 거래량
<1%
29°C or higher
$24,002 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of 25°C on May 16, recorded under standard Stevenson screen protocols at urban stations, has driven near-certain trader consensus around this outcome amid clear subtropical high-pressure conditions that suppressed peak warming. Recent model consensus from regional forecasts had pointed to modest daytime highs in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning closely with observed data and historical May baselines for the region. This positioning reflects verified observational evidence rather than projections, with minimal scope for revision given the finalized meteorological records. Only an unlikely post-analysis adjustment to station data or reclassification of the measurement window could alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
거래량
$302,754종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of 25°C on May 16, recorded under standard Stevenson screen protocols at urban stations, has driven near-certain trader consensus around this outcome amid clear subtropical high-pressure conditions that suppressed peak warming. Recent model consensus from regional forecasts had pointed to modest daytime highs in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning closely with observed data and historical May baselines for the region. This positioning reflects verified observational evidence rather than projections, with minimal scope for revision given the finalized meteorological records. Only an unlikely post-analysis adjustment to station data or reclassification of the measurement window could alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$302,754종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of 25°C on May 16, recorded under standard Stevenson screen protocols at urban stations, has driven near-certain trader consensus around this outcome amid clear subtropical high-pressure conditions that suppressed peak warming. Recent model consensus from regional forecasts had pointed to modest daytime highs in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning closely with observed data and historical May baselines for the region. This positioning reflects verified observational evidence rather than projections, with minimal scope for revision given the finalized meteorological records. Only an unlikely post-analysis adjustment to station data or reclassification of the measurement window could alter resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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