Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula, producing mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and modest daytime heating that favors a Madrid maximum near 22–23°C on May 17. These meteorological factors explain the market-implied probabilities clustering tightly around 22°C while lower or higher thresholds reflect the narrow uncertainty band inherent in short-range temperature modeling for central Spain. Traders will watch real-time observations from Spain’s meteorological agency through the afternoon for any final adjustments before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일에 마드리드에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
5월 17일에 마드리드에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
22°C 59%
23°C 26%
21°C 15%
24°C 4.3%
$29,616 거래량
$29,616 거래량
2026.05.17
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
15%
22°C
59%
23°C
26%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 59%
23°C 26%
21°C 15%
24°C 4.3%
$29,616 거래량
$29,616 거래량
2026.05.17
17°C or below
$2,658 거래량
<1%
18°C
$1,646 거래량
<1%
19°C
$5,243 거래량
<1%
20°C
$2,489 거래량
<1%
21°C
$3,813 거래량
15%
22°C
$3,951 거래량
59%
23°C
$3,308 거래량
26%
24°C
$2,695 거래량
4%
25°C
$1,756 거래량
1%
26°C
$1,235 거래량
<1%
27°C or higher
$931 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula, producing mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and modest daytime heating that favors a Madrid maximum near 22–23°C on May 17. These meteorological factors explain the market-implied probabilities clustering tightly around 22°C while lower or higher thresholds reflect the narrow uncertainty band inherent in short-range temperature modeling for central Spain. Traders will watch real-time observations from Spain’s meteorological agency through the afternoon for any final adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$29,616종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula, producing mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and modest daytime heating that favors a Madrid maximum near 22–23°C on May 17. These meteorological factors explain the market-implied probabilities clustering tightly around 22°C while lower or higher thresholds reflect the narrow uncertainty band inherent in short-range temperature modeling for central Spain. Traders will watch real-time observations from Spain’s meteorological agency through the afternoon for any final adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$29,616종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula, producing mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and modest daytime heating that favors a Madrid maximum near 22–23°C on May 17. These meteorological factors explain the market-implied probabilities clustering tightly around 22°C while lower or higher thresholds reflect the narrow uncertainty band inherent in short-range temperature modeling for central Spain. Traders will watch real-time observations from Spain’s meteorological agency through the afternoon for any final adjustments before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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