Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and AEMET place Madrid’s maximum temperature on May 17 in a narrow 22–23 °C range under moderate westerly flow and broken cloud cover. This tight clustering explains why traders have concentrated nearly 98 % of probability on those two outcomes, with 23 °C edging ahead on slightly higher model consensus for peak afternoon insolation. Key differentiating factors include small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing depth and the timing of any late-day cloud build-up, both of which can shift the daily high by 1 °C. Official AEMET station observations at the close of the diurnal cycle will resolve the market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일에 마드리드에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
5월 17일에 마드리드에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
22°C 65%
23°C 30%
24°C 5.7%
25°C <1%
$38,112 거래량
$38,112 거래량
2026.05.17
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
65%
23°C
24%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 65%
23°C 30%
24°C 5.7%
25°C <1%
$38,112 거래량
$38,112 거래량
2026.05.17
17°C or below
$2,658 거래량
<1%
18°C
$1,646 거래량
<1%
19°C
$5,373 거래량
<1%
20°C
$2,596 거래량
<1%
21°C
$7,114 거래량
<1%
22°C
$6,076 거래량
65%
23°C
$5,391 거래량
24%
24°C
$3,282 거래량
6%
25°C
$2,372 거래량
1%
26°C
$1,393 거래량
<1%
27°C or higher
$1,090 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and AEMET place Madrid’s maximum temperature on May 17 in a narrow 22–23 °C range under moderate westerly flow and broken cloud cover. This tight clustering explains why traders have concentrated nearly 98 % of probability on those two outcomes, with 23 °C edging ahead on slightly higher model consensus for peak afternoon insolation. Key differentiating factors include small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing depth and the timing of any late-day cloud build-up, both of which can shift the daily high by 1 °C. Official AEMET station observations at the close of the diurnal cycle will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$38,112종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and AEMET place Madrid’s maximum temperature on May 17 in a narrow 22–23 °C range under moderate westerly flow and broken cloud cover. This tight clustering explains why traders have concentrated nearly 98 % of probability on those two outcomes, with 23 °C edging ahead on slightly higher model consensus for peak afternoon insolation. Key differentiating factors include small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing depth and the timing of any late-day cloud build-up, both of which can shift the daily high by 1 °C. Official AEMET station observations at the close of the diurnal cycle will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$38,112종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and AEMET place Madrid’s maximum temperature on May 17 in a narrow 22–23 °C range under moderate westerly flow and broken cloud cover. This tight clustering explains why traders have concentrated nearly 98 % of probability on those two outcomes, with 23 °C edging ahead on slightly higher model consensus for peak afternoon insolation. Key differentiating factors include small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing depth and the timing of any late-day cloud build-up, both of which can shift the daily high by 1 °C. Official AEMET station observations at the close of the diurnal cycle will resolve the market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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