Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show a daily maximum temperature in Madrid on May 18 most likely between 23°C and 25°C, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities at those levels. These models incorporate current atmospheric conditions, including stable high-pressure systems and typical springtime warming patterns over the Iberian Peninsula, which historically support highs near seasonal averages of 22–24°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in model outputs and limited variability from recent observations, though minor shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover could adjust final readings at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station. Updated model runs expected overnight will provide the next key data point for resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 마드리드에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 18일 마드리드에서 가장 높은 기온?
24°C 44%
23°C 29%
25°C 18%
22°C 8%
신규
신규
2026.05.18
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
8%
23°C
29%
24°C
44%
25°C
18%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 44%
23°C 29%
25°C 18%
22°C 8%
신규
신규
2026.05.18
18°C or below
$366 거래량
<1%
19°C
$767 거래량
<1%
20°C
$1,285 거래량
<1%
21°C
$841 거래량
1%
22°C
$1,102 거래량
8%
23°C
$886 거래량
29%
24°C
$659 거래량
44%
25°C
$681 거래량
18%
26°C
$206 거래량
5%
27°C
$293 거래량
1%
28°C or higher
$503 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show a daily maximum temperature in Madrid on May 18 most likely between 23°C and 25°C, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities at those levels. These models incorporate current atmospheric conditions, including stable high-pressure systems and typical springtime warming patterns over the Iberian Peninsula, which historically support highs near seasonal averages of 22–24°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in model outputs and limited variability from recent observations, though minor shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover could adjust final readings at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station. Updated model runs expected overnight will provide the next key data point for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$7,587종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show a daily maximum temperature in Madrid on May 18 most likely between 23°C and 25°C, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities at those levels. These models incorporate current atmospheric conditions, including stable high-pressure systems and typical springtime warming patterns over the Iberian Peninsula, which historically support highs near seasonal averages of 22–24°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in model outputs and limited variability from recent observations, though minor shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover could adjust final readings at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station. Updated model runs expected overnight will provide the next key data point for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$7,587종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show a daily maximum temperature in Madrid on May 18 most likely between 23°C and 25°C, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities at those levels. These models incorporate current atmospheric conditions, including stable high-pressure systems and typical springtime warming patterns over the Iberian Peninsula, which historically support highs near seasonal averages of 22–24°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in model outputs and limited variability from recent observations, though minor shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover could adjust final readings at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station. Updated model runs expected overnight will provide the next key data point for resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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