Forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a daytime high of 26–28°C for Mexico City on May 16, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and strong solar heating at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with recent observations of 26–29°C on May 14–15 and May’s long-term climatology, where average highs hover near 26°C and temperatures rarely fall below 23°C. The near-100% market-implied probability for 24°C or higher reflects this strong model consensus and stable atmospheric conditions, though an unexpected influx of moisture or atypical cloud cover could modestly suppress heating and test the lower end of the range.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 16?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 16?
24°C or higher 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$30,051 거래량
$30,051 거래량
2026.05.16
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
Yes
24°C or higher 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$30,051 거래량
$30,051 거래량
2026.05.16
14°C or below
$1,650 거래량
No
15°C
$1,730 거래량
No
16°C
$1,134 거래량
No
17°C
$1,515 거래량
No
18°C
$1,397 거래량
No
19°C
$1,790 거래량
No
20°C
$1,668 거래량
No
21°C
$9,095 거래량
No
22°C
$1,213 거래량
No
23°C
$2,659 거래량
No
24°C or higher
$6,200 거래량
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a daytime high of 26–28°C for Mexico City on May 16, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and strong solar heating at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with recent observations of 26–29°C on May 14–15 and May’s long-term climatology, where average highs hover near 26°C and temperatures rarely fall below 23°C. The near-100% market-implied probability for 24°C or higher reflects this strong model consensus and stable atmospheric conditions, though an unexpected influx of moisture or atypical cloud cover could modestly suppress heating and test the lower end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
거래량
$30,051종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a daytime high of 26–28°C for Mexico City on May 16, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and strong solar heating at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with recent observations of 26–29°C on May 14–15 and May’s long-term climatology, where average highs hover near 26°C and temperatures rarely fall below 23°C. The near-100% market-implied probability for 24°C or higher reflects this strong model consensus and stable atmospheric conditions, though an unexpected influx of moisture or atypical cloud cover could modestly suppress heating and test the lower end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$30,051종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
Forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a daytime high of 26–28°C for Mexico City on May 16, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and strong solar heating at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with recent observations of 26–29°C on May 14–15 and May’s long-term climatology, where average highs hover near 26°C and temperatures rarely fall below 23°C. The near-100% market-implied probability for 24°C or higher reflects this strong model consensus and stable atmospheric conditions, though an unexpected influx of moisture or atypical cloud cover could modestly suppress heating and test the lower end of the range.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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