Current forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project daytime highs of 27–29°C for Mexico City on May 18 under partly cloudy conditions, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and seasonal warming at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with May climatology showing average maxima near 26°C, amplified by urban heat island effects and recent observations of 26–29°C across May 14–16. Model consensus favors minimal cooling from scattered afternoon showers, keeping the probability of reaching or exceeding 27°C elevated while uncertainty around exact peak timing or localized convection remains the key variable for traders. Updated SMN guidance and observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 멕시코시티에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
5월 18일 멕시코시티에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
27°C or higher 83%
26°C 10%
25°C 8%
24°C 1.2%
신규
$10,342 거래량
신규
$10,342 거래량
2026.05.18
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
10%
27°C or higher
83%
27°C or higher 83%
26°C 10%
25°C 8%
24°C 1.2%
신규
$10,342 거래량
신규
$10,342 거래량
2026.05.18
17°C or below
$1,846 거래량
<1%
18°C
$4,560 거래량
<1%
19°C
$528 거래량
<1%
20°C
$425 거래량
<1%
21°C
$272 거래량
<1%
22°C
$483 거래량
<1%
23°C
$542 거래량
1%
24°C
$445 거래량
1%
25°C
$559 거래량
8%
26°C
$383 거래량
10%
27°C or higher
$298 거래량
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project daytime highs of 27–29°C for Mexico City on May 18 under partly cloudy conditions, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and seasonal warming at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with May climatology showing average maxima near 26°C, amplified by urban heat island effects and recent observations of 26–29°C across May 14–16. Model consensus favors minimal cooling from scattered afternoon showers, keeping the probability of reaching or exceeding 27°C elevated while uncertainty around exact peak timing or localized convection remains the key variable for traders. Updated SMN guidance and observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$10,342종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project daytime highs of 27–29°C for Mexico City on May 18 under partly cloudy conditions, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and seasonal warming at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with May climatology showing average maxima near 26°C, amplified by urban heat island effects and recent observations of 26–29°C across May 14–16. Model consensus favors minimal cooling from scattered afternoon showers, keeping the probability of reaching or exceeding 27°C elevated while uncertainty around exact peak timing or localized convection remains the key variable for traders. Updated SMN guidance and observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$10,342종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project daytime highs of 27–29°C for Mexico City on May 18 under partly cloudy conditions, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and seasonal warming at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with May climatology showing average maxima near 26°C, amplified by urban heat island effects and recent observations of 26–29°C across May 14–16. Model consensus favors minimal cooling from scattered afternoon showers, keeping the probability of reaching or exceeding 27°C elevated while uncertainty around exact peak timing or localized convection remains the key variable for traders. Updated SMN guidance and observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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