PAGASA's latest extended weather outlook, issued May 14, projects a high of 35°C for Metro Manila on May 16 under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms, driving trader consensus toward temperatures in the mid-to-upper 30s Celsius. This aligns with May's climatological peak, when Manila averages 33°C highs amid the dry season's intense solar heating and urban heat island effects, though sea breezes and localized convection introduce uncertainty. Recent days have seen similar 34-35°C peaks with elevated heat indices nearing danger levels (42°C+), per agency bulletins. Watch for tomorrow's forecast update and heat index advisory, as model refinements could shift implied probabilities before resolution based on official PAGASA station measurements.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Manila on May 16?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 16?
34°C 39%
35°C 33%
33°C 14%
32°C 8%
신규
신규
2026.05.16
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
8%
33°C
14%
34°C
39%
35°C
33%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 39%
35°C 33%
33°C 14%
32°C 8%
신규
신규
2026.05.16
29°C or below
$273 거래량
<1%
30°C
$133 거래량
1%
31°C
$60 거래량
1%
32°C
$131 거래량
8%
33°C
$187 거래량
14%
34°C
$179 거래량
39%
35°C
$36 거래량
33%
36°C
$251 거래량
5%
37°C
$189 거래량
1%
38°C
$22 거래량
1%
39°C or higher
$220 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest extended weather outlook, issued May 14, projects a high of 35°C for Metro Manila on May 16 under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms, driving trader consensus toward temperatures in the mid-to-upper 30s Celsius. This aligns with May's climatological peak, when Manila averages 33°C highs amid the dry season's intense solar heating and urban heat island effects, though sea breezes and localized convection introduce uncertainty. Recent days have seen similar 34-35°C peaks with elevated heat indices nearing danger levels (42°C+), per agency bulletins. Watch for tomorrow's forecast update and heat index advisory, as model refinements could shift implied probabilities before resolution based on official PAGASA station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
거래량
$1,653종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest extended weather outlook, issued May 14, projects a high of 35°C for Metro Manila on May 16 under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms, driving trader consensus toward temperatures in the mid-to-upper 30s Celsius. This aligns with May's climatological peak, when Manila averages 33°C highs amid the dry season's intense solar heating and urban heat island effects, though sea breezes and localized convection introduce uncertainty. Recent days have seen similar 34-35°C peaks with elevated heat indices nearing danger levels (42°C+), per agency bulletins. Watch for tomorrow's forecast update and heat index advisory, as model refinements could shift implied probabilities before resolution based on official PAGASA station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$1,653종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETPAGASA's latest extended weather outlook, issued May 14, projects a high of 35°C for Metro Manila on May 16 under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms, driving trader consensus toward temperatures in the mid-to-upper 30s Celsius. This aligns with May's climatological peak, when Manila averages 33°C highs amid the dry season's intense solar heating and urban heat island effects, though sea breezes and localized convection introduce uncertainty. Recent days have seen similar 34-35°C peaks with elevated heat indices nearing danger levels (42°C+), per agency bulletins. Watch for tomorrow's forecast update and heat index advisory, as model refinements could shift implied probabilities before resolution based on official PAGASA station measurements.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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