Trader sentiment has locked onto 13°C as the highest temperature recorded in Milan on May 15, reflected in the 100% market-implied odds for that outcome. This consensus stems directly from official meteorological observations showing a daily maximum of exactly 13°C under a stable high-pressure regime with northerly airflow that suppressed daytime warming. Mid-May climatological baselines for the Po Valley typically reach 18–22°C, so the cooler reading represents a clear departure driven by persistent cloud cover and lower-than-normal solar insolation. Resolution criteria rely on verified ground-station data from Italian meteorological authorities, with no model revisions or sensor discrepancies emerging in the final observation window. Only an unexpected late-day spike above 13°C or a post-event data correction could have altered the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Milan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 15?
13°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$84,057 거래량
$84,057 거래량
2026.05.15
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$84,057 거래량
$84,057 거래량
2026.05.15
9°C or below
$780 거래량
No
10°C
$5,898 거래량
No
11°C
$7,624 거래량
No
12°C
$9,571 거래량
No
13°C
$12,653 거래량
Yes
14°C
$8,954 거래량
No
15°C
$7,013 거래량
No
16°C
$6,213 거래량
No
17°C
$9,272 거래량
No
18°C
$9,151 거래량
No
19°C or higher
$6,928 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment has locked onto 13°C as the highest temperature recorded in Milan on May 15, reflected in the 100% market-implied odds for that outcome. This consensus stems directly from official meteorological observations showing a daily maximum of exactly 13°C under a stable high-pressure regime with northerly airflow that suppressed daytime warming. Mid-May climatological baselines for the Po Valley typically reach 18–22°C, so the cooler reading represents a clear departure driven by persistent cloud cover and lower-than-normal solar insolation. Resolution criteria rely on verified ground-station data from Italian meteorological authorities, with no model revisions or sensor discrepancies emerging in the final observation window. Only an unexpected late-day spike above 13°C or a post-event data correction could have altered the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
거래량
$84,057종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment has locked onto 13°C as the highest temperature recorded in Milan on May 15, reflected in the 100% market-implied odds for that outcome. This consensus stems directly from official meteorological observations showing a daily maximum of exactly 13°C under a stable high-pressure regime with northerly airflow that suppressed daytime warming. Mid-May climatological baselines for the Po Valley typically reach 18–22°C, so the cooler reading represents a clear departure driven by persistent cloud cover and lower-than-normal solar insolation. Resolution criteria rely on verified ground-station data from Italian meteorological authorities, with no model revisions or sensor discrepancies emerging in the final observation window. Only an unexpected late-day spike above 13°C or a post-event data correction could have altered the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$84,057종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
Trader sentiment has locked onto 13°C as the highest temperature recorded in Milan on May 15, reflected in the 100% market-implied odds for that outcome. This consensus stems directly from official meteorological observations showing a daily maximum of exactly 13°C under a stable high-pressure regime with northerly airflow that suppressed daytime warming. Mid-May climatological baselines for the Po Valley typically reach 18–22°C, so the cooler reading represents a clear departure driven by persistent cloud cover and lower-than-normal solar insolation. Resolution criteria rely on verified ground-station data from Italian meteorological authorities, with no model revisions or sensor discrepancies emerging in the final observation window. Only an unexpected late-day spike above 13°C or a post-event data correction could have altered the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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