Recent forecast models from major meteorological agencies, including the Russian Federal Service for Hydrometeorology and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, have converged on a daytime high of 26°C for Moscow on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure system and southerly flow that has warmed the region above seasonal normals. This consensus aligns with current surface observations showing afternoon temperatures approaching that mark under mostly clear skies. Historical May averages near 18–20°C underscore how today’s mild conditions represent a modest warm anomaly rather than an extreme. The near-certain market-implied probability for exactly 26°C could shift only if real-time station data records a slightly higher or lower peak due to localized urban heat effects or minor timing differences in the daily maximum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 모스크바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
5월 17일 모스크바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
$44,340 거래량
$44,340 거래량
2026.05.17
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
$44,340 거래량
$44,340 거래량
2026.05.17
18°C or below
$1,628 거래량
<1%
19°C
$1,641 거래량
<1%
20°C
$1,344 거래량
<1%
21°C
$3,934 거래량
<1%
22°C
$2,252 거래량
<1%
23°C
$4,335 거래량
<1%
24°C
$4,517 거래량
<1%
25°C
$6,198 거래량
<1%
26°C
$6,853 거래량
100%
27°C
$5,517 거래량
<1%
28°C or higher
$6,119 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from major meteorological agencies, including the Russian Federal Service for Hydrometeorology and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, have converged on a daytime high of 26°C for Moscow on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure system and southerly flow that has warmed the region above seasonal normals. This consensus aligns with current surface observations showing afternoon temperatures approaching that mark under mostly clear skies. Historical May averages near 18–20°C underscore how today’s mild conditions represent a modest warm anomaly rather than an extreme. The near-certain market-implied probability for exactly 26°C could shift only if real-time station data records a slightly higher or lower peak due to localized urban heat effects or minor timing differences in the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$44,340종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from major meteorological agencies, including the Russian Federal Service for Hydrometeorology and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, have converged on a daytime high of 26°C for Moscow on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure system and southerly flow that has warmed the region above seasonal normals. This consensus aligns with current surface observations showing afternoon temperatures approaching that mark under mostly clear skies. Historical May averages near 18–20°C underscore how today’s mild conditions represent a modest warm anomaly rather than an extreme. The near-certain market-implied probability for exactly 26°C could shift only if real-time station data records a slightly higher or lower peak due to localized urban heat effects or minor timing differences in the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$44,340종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent forecast models from major meteorological agencies, including the Russian Federal Service for Hydrometeorology and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, have converged on a daytime high of 26°C for Moscow on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure system and southerly flow that has warmed the region above seasonal normals. This consensus aligns with current surface observations showing afternoon temperatures approaching that mark under mostly clear skies. Historical May averages near 18–20°C underscore how today’s mild conditions represent a modest warm anomaly rather than an extreme. The near-certain market-implied probability for exactly 26°C could shift only if real-time station data records a slightly higher or lower peak due to localized urban heat effects or minor timing differences in the daily maximum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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