Recent forecast guidance from European and global models indicates Moscow will experience a warm air mass advection ahead of a slow-moving high-pressure ridge on May 18, supporting afternoon highs near 27–29 °C at VDNKh station. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes favored because boundary-layer mixing and insolation under mostly clear skies are projected to peak just below 30 °C. Minor downward revisions in some runs stem from possible late-day cloud cover or a slightly stronger northerly component in the steering flow, while a modest chance of 30 °C or higher persists if daytime heating exceeds model assumptions. These tight probabilities reflect the inherent uncertainty in maximum-temperature resolution when observed values fall within a 2–3 °C envelope of the climatological upper tail for mid-May.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 모스크바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
5월 18일 모스크바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
29°C 31%
28°C 30%
30°C 19%
27°C 15%
신규
$10,556 거래량
신규
$10,556 거래량
2026.05.18
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
15%
28°C
30%
29°C
31%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
3%
29°C 31%
28°C 30%
30°C 19%
27°C 15%
신규
$10,556 거래량
신규
$10,556 거래량
2026.05.18
21°C or below
$870 거래량
<1%
22°C
$533 거래량
<1%
23°C
$1,146 거래량
<1%
24°C
$2,494 거래량
<1%
25°C
$1,610 거래량
1%
26°C
$598 거래량
4%
27°C
$498 거래량
15%
28°C
$689 거래량
30%
29°C
$518 거래량
31%
30°C
$405 거래량
19%
31°C or higher
$1,194 거래량
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from European and global models indicates Moscow will experience a warm air mass advection ahead of a slow-moving high-pressure ridge on May 18, supporting afternoon highs near 27–29 °C at VDNKh station. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes favored because boundary-layer mixing and insolation under mostly clear skies are projected to peak just below 30 °C. Minor downward revisions in some runs stem from possible late-day cloud cover or a slightly stronger northerly component in the steering flow, while a modest chance of 30 °C or higher persists if daytime heating exceeds model assumptions. These tight probabilities reflect the inherent uncertainty in maximum-temperature resolution when observed values fall within a 2–3 °C envelope of the climatological upper tail for mid-May.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$10,556종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from European and global models indicates Moscow will experience a warm air mass advection ahead of a slow-moving high-pressure ridge on May 18, supporting afternoon highs near 27–29 °C at VDNKh station. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes favored because boundary-layer mixing and insolation under mostly clear skies are projected to peak just below 30 °C. Minor downward revisions in some runs stem from possible late-day cloud cover or a slightly stronger northerly component in the steering flow, while a modest chance of 30 °C or higher persists if daytime heating exceeds model assumptions. These tight probabilities reflect the inherent uncertainty in maximum-temperature resolution when observed values fall within a 2–3 °C envelope of the climatological upper tail for mid-May.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$10,556종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from European and global models indicates Moscow will experience a warm air mass advection ahead of a slow-moving high-pressure ridge on May 18, supporting afternoon highs near 27–29 °C at VDNKh station. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes favored because boundary-layer mixing and insolation under mostly clear skies are projected to peak just below 30 °C. Minor downward revisions in some runs stem from possible late-day cloud cover or a slightly stronger northerly component in the steering flow, while a modest chance of 30 °C or higher persists if daytime heating exceeds model assumptions. These tight probabilities reflect the inherent uncertainty in maximum-temperature resolution when observed values fall within a 2–3 °C envelope of the climatological upper tail for mid-May.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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