Recent forecast updates from European models, including runs by the German Weather Service, point to a maximum of 15–16°C in Munich today under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with mid-May climatology, where the long-term average high sits near 17–18°C, yet current observations show suppressed warming compared with recent warmer spells. Trader positioning around the 16°C outcome at 45% implied probability reflects the narrow spread in ensemble guidance, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover develop later. Official measurements from the Munich station will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is complete.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 뮌헨에서 가장 높은 온도는?
5월 17일 뮌헨에서 가장 높은 온도는?
16°C 47%
15°C 32%
17°C 18%
14°C 5.1%
$16,746 거래량
$16,746 거래량
2026.05.17
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
5%
15°C
32%
16°C
47%
17°C
18%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 47%
15°C 32%
17°C 18%
14°C 5.1%
$16,746 거래량
$16,746 거래량
2026.05.17
11°C or below
$562 거래량
<1%
12°C
$1,016 거래량
<1%
13°C
$2,105 거래량
<1%
14°C
$1,399 거래량
5%
15°C
$2,197 거래량
32%
16°C
$1,733 거래량
47%
17°C
$1,842 거래량
18%
18°C
$1,296 거래량
2%
19°C
$1,054 거래량
1%
20°C
$1,346 거래량
<1%
21°C or higher
$2,203 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from European models, including runs by the German Weather Service, point to a maximum of 15–16°C in Munich today under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with mid-May climatology, where the long-term average high sits near 17–18°C, yet current observations show suppressed warming compared with recent warmer spells. Trader positioning around the 16°C outcome at 45% implied probability reflects the narrow spread in ensemble guidance, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover develop later. Official measurements from the Munich station will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is complete.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$16,746종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from European models, including runs by the German Weather Service, point to a maximum of 15–16°C in Munich today under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with mid-May climatology, where the long-term average high sits near 17–18°C, yet current observations show suppressed warming compared with recent warmer spells. Trader positioning around the 16°C outcome at 45% implied probability reflects the narrow spread in ensemble guidance, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover develop later. Official measurements from the Munich station will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is complete.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$16,746종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecast updates from European models, including runs by the German Weather Service, point to a maximum of 15–16°C in Munich today under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with mid-May climatology, where the long-term average high sits near 17–18°C, yet current observations show suppressed warming compared with recent warmer spells. Trader positioning around the 16°C outcome at 45% implied probability reflects the narrow spread in ensemble guidance, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover develop later. Official measurements from the Munich station will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is complete.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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