Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models show a narrow range of daily maximum temperatures for Munich on May 18, centered on 19°C, driven by moderate southwesterly flow advecting mild Atlantic air across Bavaria with limited daytime heating under partial cloud cover. Mid-May climatology places the seasonal average high near 18°C, so the current setup reflects typical spring variability rather than extremes. Key uncertainties stem from the timing and strength of any passing frontal boundary, which could trim or boost the peak by 1°C depending on exact cloud timing and wind speeds. Official resolution will use the German Weather Service station measurement, with final model guidance updates expected within the next 24 hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 뮌헨에서 가장 높은 기온?
19°C 34%
20°C 29%
18°C 16%
21°C 8%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
16%
19°C
34%
20°C
29%
21°C
8%
22°C
4%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 34%
20°C 29%
18°C 16%
21°C 8%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
16%
19°C
34%
20°C
29%
21°C
8%
22°C
4%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models show a narrow range of daily maximum temperatures for Munich on May 18, centered on 19°C, driven by moderate southwesterly flow advecting mild Atlantic air across Bavaria with limited daytime heating under partial cloud cover. Mid-May climatology places the seasonal average high near 18°C, so the current setup reflects typical spring variability rather than extremes. Key uncertainties stem from the timing and strength of any passing frontal boundary, which could trim or boost the peak by 1°C depending on exact cloud timing and wind speeds. Official resolution will use the German Weather Service station measurement, with final model guidance updates expected within the next 24 hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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