Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models place Munich’s May 19 daytime maximum between 17–18 °C, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. Variable cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary are expected to limit surface heating while mild southerly advection supplies modest warmth; ensemble spread reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation amounts that could shave or boost the peak by 1 °C. Historical May climatology shows comparable days averaging 17.7 °C with a standard deviation near 2 °C, underscoring why traders assign meaningful probability to adjacent bins. Updated runs from the Deutscher Wetterdienst this evening and tomorrow morning will provide the next clear signal ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 19일 뮌헨에서 가장 높은 온도는?
5월 19일 뮌헨에서 가장 높은 온도는?
18°C 37%
17°C 26%
19°C 22%
16°C 11%
신규
신규
2026.05.19
11°C 이하
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
11%
17°C
26%
18°C
37%
19°C
22%
20°C
5%
21°C 이상
1%
18°C 37%
17°C 26%
19°C 22%
16°C 11%
신규
신규
2026.05.19
11°C 이하
$141 거래량
<1%
12°C
$31 거래량
<1%
13°C
$394 거래량
<1%
14°C
$231 거래량
1%
15°C
$332 거래량
2%
16°C
$401 거래량
11%
17°C
$267 거래량
26%
18°C
$175 거래량
37%
19°C
$397 거래량
22%
20°C
$44 거래량
5%
21°C 이상
$65 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models place Munich’s May 19 daytime maximum between 17–18 °C, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. Variable cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary are expected to limit surface heating while mild southerly advection supplies modest warmth; ensemble spread reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation amounts that could shave or boost the peak by 1 °C. Historical May climatology shows comparable days averaging 17.7 °C with a standard deviation near 2 °C, underscoring why traders assign meaningful probability to adjacent bins. Updated runs from the Deutscher Wetterdienst this evening and tomorrow morning will provide the next clear signal ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$2,478종료일
2026.05.19마켓 개설일
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models place Munich’s May 19 daytime maximum between 17–18 °C, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. Variable cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary are expected to limit surface heating while mild southerly advection supplies modest warmth; ensemble spread reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation amounts that could shave or boost the peak by 1 °C. Historical May climatology shows comparable days averaging 17.7 °C with a standard deviation near 2 °C, underscoring why traders assign meaningful probability to adjacent bins. Updated runs from the Deutscher Wetterdienst this evening and tomorrow morning will provide the next clear signal ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$2,478종료일
2026.05.19마켓 개설일
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models place Munich’s May 19 daytime maximum between 17–18 °C, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. Variable cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary are expected to limit surface heating while mild southerly advection supplies modest warmth; ensemble spread reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation amounts that could shave or boost the peak by 1 °C. Historical May climatology shows comparable days averaging 17.7 °C with a standard deviation near 2 °C, underscoring why traders assign meaningful probability to adjacent bins. Updated runs from the Deutscher Wetterdienst this evening and tomorrow morning will provide the next clear signal ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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