Official China Meteorological Administration observations from Qingdao stations confirm the daily high reached exactly 22°C this afternoon amid fine weather and moderating sea breezes, driving trader consensus to a near-100% implied probability for this outcome as sunlight fades and temperatures drop. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 19–23°C under similar partly cloudy conditions, and recent hourly data showing no exceedance despite brief peaks. Model forecasts from CMA aligned closely, emphasizing low intensification potential from coastal influences. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-evening data revision or outlier station reading above 22°C before midnight local time, when final summaries solidify resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 15?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 15?
22°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$24,825 거래량
$24,825 거래량
2026.05.15
21°C or below
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$24,825 거래량
$24,825 거래량
2026.05.15
21°C or below
$5,148 거래량
No
22°C
$5,332 거래량
Yes
23°C
$2,368 거래량
No
24°C
$1,828 거래량
No
25°C
$1,929 거래량
No
26°C
$3,072 거래량
No
27°C
$1,087 거래량
No
28°C
$1,001 거래량
No
29°C
$1,010 거래량
No
30°C
$1,223 거래량
No
31°C or higher
$828 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official China Meteorological Administration observations from Qingdao stations confirm the daily high reached exactly 22°C this afternoon amid fine weather and moderating sea breezes, driving trader consensus to a near-100% implied probability for this outcome as sunlight fades and temperatures drop. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 19–23°C under similar partly cloudy conditions, and recent hourly data showing no exceedance despite brief peaks. Model forecasts from CMA aligned closely, emphasizing low intensification potential from coastal influences. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-evening data revision or outlier station reading above 22°C before midnight local time, when final summaries solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
거래량
$24,825종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official China Meteorological Administration observations from Qingdao stations confirm the daily high reached exactly 22°C this afternoon amid fine weather and moderating sea breezes, driving trader consensus to a near-100% implied probability for this outcome as sunlight fades and temperatures drop. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 19–23°C under similar partly cloudy conditions, and recent hourly data showing no exceedance despite brief peaks. Model forecasts from CMA aligned closely, emphasizing low intensification potential from coastal influences. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-evening data revision or outlier station reading above 22°C before midnight local time, when final summaries solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$24,825종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official China Meteorological Administration observations from Qingdao stations confirm the daily high reached exactly 22°C this afternoon amid fine weather and moderating sea breezes, driving trader consensus to a near-100% implied probability for this outcome as sunlight fades and temperatures drop. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 19–23°C under similar partly cloudy conditions, and recent hourly data showing no exceedance despite brief peaks. Model forecasts from CMA aligned closely, emphasizing low intensification potential from coastal influences. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-evening data revision or outlier station reading above 22°C before midnight local time, when final summaries solidify resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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