Hourly METAR observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground archives, confirm the day's peak temperature at exactly 24°C during mid-morning under partly cloudy skies, with subsequent readings cooling to 21°C amid persistent broken clouds and high humidity. This aligns with cloud-induced suppression of solar insolation, overriding earlier China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting up to 27°C amid typical mid-May warming trends averaging 25–26°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 24°C reflects real-time data dominance over models. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing boosting temperatures before sunset, though diminishing solar angles make exceedance unlikely; final daily archive expected soon.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 15?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 15?
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$130,818 거래량
$130,818 거래량
2026.05.15
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$130,818 거래량
$130,818 거래량
2026.05.15
20°C or below
$5,679 거래량
No
21°C
$3,917 거래량
No
22°C
$12,502 거래량
No
23°C
$14,574 거래량
No
24°C
$25,687 거래량
Yes
25°C
$16,004 거래량
No
26°C
$13,841 거래량
No
27°C
$19,534 거래량
No
28°C
$9,269 거래량
No
29°C
$4,982 거래량
No
30°C or higher
$4,830 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hourly METAR observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground archives, confirm the day's peak temperature at exactly 24°C during mid-morning under partly cloudy skies, with subsequent readings cooling to 21°C amid persistent broken clouds and high humidity. This aligns with cloud-induced suppression of solar insolation, overriding earlier China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting up to 27°C amid typical mid-May warming trends averaging 25–26°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 24°C reflects real-time data dominance over models. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing boosting temperatures before sunset, though diminishing solar angles make exceedance unlikely; final daily archive expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
거래량
$130,818종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hourly METAR observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground archives, confirm the day's peak temperature at exactly 24°C during mid-morning under partly cloudy skies, with subsequent readings cooling to 21°C amid persistent broken clouds and high humidity. This aligns with cloud-induced suppression of solar insolation, overriding earlier China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting up to 27°C amid typical mid-May warming trends averaging 25–26°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 24°C reflects real-time data dominance over models. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing boosting temperatures before sunset, though diminishing solar angles make exceedance unlikely; final daily archive expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$130,818종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
Hourly METAR observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground archives, confirm the day's peak temperature at exactly 24°C during mid-morning under partly cloudy skies, with subsequent readings cooling to 21°C amid persistent broken clouds and high humidity. This aligns with cloud-induced suppression of solar insolation, overriding earlier China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting up to 27°C amid typical mid-May warming trends averaging 25–26°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 24°C reflects real-time data dominance over models. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing boosting temperatures before sunset, though diminishing solar angles make exceedance unlikely; final daily archive expected soon.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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