Ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum near 13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, anchoring trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for that exact outcome. Cool northwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average of 16–18°C, while limited solar insolation and light winds further cap any late-day rise. Minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing or brief wind shifts could permit a brief spike to 14°C, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the current observational trends. Final confirmation will come from official station readings at the close of the calendar day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 바르샤바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
5월 17일 바르샤바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
13°C 99.7%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
5°C or below <1%
$49,048 거래량
$49,048 거래량
2026.05.17
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.7%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
5°C or below <1%
$49,048 거래량
$49,048 거래량
2026.05.17
5°C or below
$660 거래량
<1%
6°C
$979 거래량
<1%
7°C
$435 거래량
<1%
8°C
$683 거래량
<1%
9°C
$1,131 거래량
<1%
10°C
$4,426 거래량
<1%
11°C
$10,585 거래량
<1%
12°C
$4,844 거래량
<1%
13°C
$9,482 거래량
100%
14°C
$7,972 거래량
<1%
15°C or higher
$7,853 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum near 13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, anchoring trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for that exact outcome. Cool northwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average of 16–18°C, while limited solar insolation and light winds further cap any late-day rise. Minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing or brief wind shifts could permit a brief spike to 14°C, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the current observational trends. Final confirmation will come from official station readings at the close of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$49,048종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum near 13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, anchoring trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for that exact outcome. Cool northwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average of 16–18°C, while limited solar insolation and light winds further cap any late-day rise. Minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing or brief wind shifts could permit a brief spike to 14°C, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the current observational trends. Final confirmation will come from official station readings at the close of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$49,048종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETEnsemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum near 13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, anchoring trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for that exact outcome. Cool northwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average of 16–18°C, while limited solar insolation and light winds further cap any late-day rise. Minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing or brief wind shifts could permit a brief spike to 14°C, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the current observational trends. Final confirmation will come from official station readings at the close of the calendar day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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