Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show London’s overnight minimum on May 17 settling near 10–11 °C under a mild southwesterly Atlantic flow that curbs radiative cooling beneath variable cloud cover. This setup aligns closely with the historical May average low of about 9 °C at Heathrow while limiting the chance of deeper nocturnal drops. Trader consensus, reflected in the 84.5 % implied probability for an 11 °C low, incorporates the latest model runs and ongoing surface observations that continue to support readings no lower than 10 °C through dawn. Key resolution hinges on official Met Office station data at the day’s end, with any late clearing skies offering the main remaining variable that could still nudge the minimum slightly lower.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 런던 최저 기온?
5월 17일 런던 최저 기온?
11°C 85%
10°C 11%
9°C <1%
8°C <1%
$8,710 거래량
$8,710 거래량
2026.05.17
2°C 이하
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
11%
11°C
85%
12°C 이상
<1%
11°C 85%
10°C 11%
9°C <1%
8°C <1%
$8,710 거래량
$8,710 거래량
2026.05.17
2°C 이하
$343 거래량
<1%
3°C
$526 거래량
<1%
4°C
$905 거래량
<1%
5°C
$466 거래량
<1%
6°C
$633 거래량
<1%
7°C
$460 거래량
<1%
8°C
$1,622 거래량
<1%
9°C
$692 거래량
1%
10°C
$289 거래량
11%
11°C
$385 거래량
85%
12°C 이상
$2,390 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show London’s overnight minimum on May 17 settling near 10–11 °C under a mild southwesterly Atlantic flow that curbs radiative cooling beneath variable cloud cover. This setup aligns closely with the historical May average low of about 9 °C at Heathrow while limiting the chance of deeper nocturnal drops. Trader consensus, reflected in the 84.5 % implied probability for an 11 °C low, incorporates the latest model runs and ongoing surface observations that continue to support readings no lower than 10 °C through dawn. Key resolution hinges on official Met Office station data at the day’s end, with any late clearing skies offering the main remaining variable that could still nudge the minimum slightly lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
거래량
$8,710종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show London’s overnight minimum on May 17 settling near 10–11 °C under a mild southwesterly Atlantic flow that curbs radiative cooling beneath variable cloud cover. This setup aligns closely with the historical May average low of about 9 °C at Heathrow while limiting the chance of deeper nocturnal drops. Trader consensus, reflected in the 84.5 % implied probability for an 11 °C low, incorporates the latest model runs and ongoing surface observations that continue to support readings no lower than 10 °C through dawn. Key resolution hinges on official Met Office station data at the day’s end, with any late clearing skies offering the main remaining variable that could still nudge the minimum slightly lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$8,710종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETRecent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show London’s overnight minimum on May 17 settling near 10–11 °C under a mild southwesterly Atlantic flow that curbs radiative cooling beneath variable cloud cover. This setup aligns closely with the historical May average low of about 9 °C at Heathrow while limiting the chance of deeper nocturnal drops. Trader consensus, reflected in the 84.5 % implied probability for an 11 °C low, incorporates the latest model runs and ongoing surface observations that continue to support readings no lower than 10 °C through dawn. Key resolution hinges on official Met Office station data at the day’s end, with any late clearing skies offering the main remaining variable that could still nudge the minimum slightly lower.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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