Warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures near South Florida are suppressing overnight radiative cooling and maintaining elevated humidity, positioning 80-81°F as the dominant outcome for Miami’s June 14 low with 89% market-implied probability. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance project typical mid-June nighttime minima in the upper 70s to low 80s under light southeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological baselines around 77-79°F. Recent model runs show no signals of clearer skies, stronger onshore winds, or frontal passages that could push readings into the 76-77°F range (4.2% implied). Traders assign negligible odds below 76°F given persistent warm-water influence and absence of atypical cooling mechanisms, with final verification expected from official KMIA observations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 14일 마이애미에서 가장 낮은 기온?
6월 14일 마이애미에서 가장 낮은 기온?
80-81°F 87%
78-79°F 5%
76-77°F 4.2%
72-73°F <1%
$5,153 거래량
$5,153 거래량
2026.06.14
67°F 이하
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
87%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F 이상
<1%
80-81°F 87%
78-79°F 5%
76-77°F 4.2%
72-73°F <1%
$5,153 거래량
$5,153 거래량
2026.06.14
67°F 이하
$375 거래량
<1%
68-69°F
$203 거래량
<1%
70-71°F
$346 거래량
<1%
72-73°F
$339 거래량
1%
74-75°F
$761 거래량
<1%
76-77°F
$265 거래량
4%
78-79°F
$521 거래량
5%
80-81°F
$594 거래량
87%
82-83°F
$789 거래량
<1%
84-85°F
$610 거래량
<1%
86°F 이상
$360 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures near South Florida are suppressing overnight radiative cooling and maintaining elevated humidity, positioning 80-81°F as the dominant outcome for Miami’s June 14 low with 89% market-implied probability. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance project typical mid-June nighttime minima in the upper 70s to low 80s under light southeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological baselines around 77-79°F. Recent model runs show no signals of clearer skies, stronger onshore winds, or frontal passages that could push readings into the 76-77°F range (4.2% implied). Traders assign negligible odds below 76°F given persistent warm-water influence and absence of atypical cooling mechanisms, with final verification expected from official KMIA observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
거래량
$5,153종료일
2026.06.14마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures near South Florida are suppressing overnight radiative cooling and maintaining elevated humidity, positioning 80-81°F as the dominant outcome for Miami’s June 14 low with 89% market-implied probability. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance project typical mid-June nighttime minima in the upper 70s to low 80s under light southeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological baselines around 77-79°F. Recent model runs show no signals of clearer skies, stronger onshore winds, or frontal passages that could push readings into the 76-77°F range (4.2% implied). Traders assign negligible odds below 76°F given persistent warm-water influence and absence of atypical cooling mechanisms, with final verification expected from official KMIA observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$5,153종료일
2026.06.14마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETWarm Atlantic sea surface temperatures near South Florida are suppressing overnight radiative cooling and maintaining elevated humidity, positioning 80-81°F as the dominant outcome for Miami’s June 14 low with 89% market-implied probability. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance project typical mid-June nighttime minima in the upper 70s to low 80s under light southeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological baselines around 77-79°F. Recent model runs show no signals of clearer skies, stronger onshore winds, or frontal passages that could push readings into the 76-77°F range (4.2% implied). Traders assign negligible odds below 76°F given persistent warm-water influence and absence of atypical cooling mechanisms, with final verification expected from official KMIA observations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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