Traders assign an 89% implied probability to an 80-81°F low in Miami on June 14 because official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and Timeanddate consistently project overnight minima in the upper 70s to low 80s amid typical early-summer conditions. High humidity, weak pressure gradients, and the urban heat island effect limit radiative cooling after daytime highs near 90°F, keeping temperatures elevated through the night. No cold fronts or atypical steering patterns have emerged in recent model runs, aligning with climatological baselines where mid-June lows average near 77-78°F but often reach the low 80s under stable subtropical air. Upcoming evening observations and any last adjustments from the National Hurricane Center or local NWS offices represent the primary remaining variables before market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 14일 마이애미에서 가장 낮은 기온?
6월 14일 마이애미에서 가장 낮은 기온?
80-81°F 86%
78-79°F 5%
76-77°F 4.4%
74-75°F <1%
$5,224 거래량
$5,224 거래량
2026.06.14
67°F 이하
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
86%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F 이상
<1%
80-81°F 86%
78-79°F 5%
76-77°F 4.4%
74-75°F <1%
$5,224 거래량
$5,224 거래량
2026.06.14
67°F 이하
$375 거래량
<1%
68-69°F
$203 거래량
<1%
70-71°F
$346 거래량
<1%
72-73°F
$339 거래량
<1%
74-75°F
$767 거래량
<1%
76-77°F
$265 거래량
4%
78-79°F
$521 거래량
5%
80-81°F
$649 거래량
86%
82-83°F
$794 거래량
<1%
84-85°F
$610 거래량
<1%
86°F 이상
$360 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign an 89% implied probability to an 80-81°F low in Miami on June 14 because official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and Timeanddate consistently project overnight minima in the upper 70s to low 80s amid typical early-summer conditions. High humidity, weak pressure gradients, and the urban heat island effect limit radiative cooling after daytime highs near 90°F, keeping temperatures elevated through the night. No cold fronts or atypical steering patterns have emerged in recent model runs, aligning with climatological baselines where mid-June lows average near 77-78°F but often reach the low 80s under stable subtropical air. Upcoming evening observations and any last adjustments from the National Hurricane Center or local NWS offices represent the primary remaining variables before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
거래량
$5,224종료일
2026.06.14마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign an 89% implied probability to an 80-81°F low in Miami on June 14 because official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and Timeanddate consistently project overnight minima in the upper 70s to low 80s amid typical early-summer conditions. High humidity, weak pressure gradients, and the urban heat island effect limit radiative cooling after daytime highs near 90°F, keeping temperatures elevated through the night. No cold fronts or atypical steering patterns have emerged in recent model runs, aligning with climatological baselines where mid-June lows average near 77-78°F but often reach the low 80s under stable subtropical air. Upcoming evening observations and any last adjustments from the National Hurricane Center or local NWS offices represent the primary remaining variables before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$5,224종료일
2026.06.14마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETTraders assign an 89% implied probability to an 80-81°F low in Miami on June 14 because official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and Timeanddate consistently project overnight minima in the upper 70s to low 80s amid typical early-summer conditions. High humidity, weak pressure gradients, and the urban heat island effect limit radiative cooling after daytime highs near 90°F, keeping temperatures elevated through the night. No cold fronts or atypical steering patterns have emerged in recent model runs, aligning with climatological baselines where mid-June lows average near 77-78°F but often reach the low 80s under stable subtropical air. Upcoming evening observations and any last adjustments from the National Hurricane Center or local NWS offices represent the primary remaining variables before market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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