Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated May 13, projects a minimum temperature of 15°C for Seoul on May 14 under clear skies with light easterly winds and morning humidity near 90%, following today's mostly cloudy conditions and 14°C low. However, trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors cooler outcomes at 13°C (55% implied probability) and 12°C (38%), reflecting caution amid mid-May climatological lows averaging 13°C, potential for enhanced radiative cooling overnight after persistent cloud cover limited May 13 heating, and ensemble model variance showing lows in the 12–15°C range. Official station measurements (e.g., Seoul observatory) often register slightly below urban averages; watch KMA's evening update for refined guidance as resolution nears.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 14일 서울 최저 기온?
5월 14일 서울 최저 기온?
12°C 54%
11°C 이하 6.5%
13°C <1%
신규
$23,212 거래량
신규
$23,212 거래량
2026.05.14
11°C 이하
6%
12°C
54%
13°C
<1%
12°C 54%
11°C 이하 6.5%
13°C <1%
신규
$23,212 거래량
신규
$23,212 거래량
2026.05.14
11°C 이하
$10,796 거래량
6%
12°C
$1,322 거래량
54%
13°C
$1,257 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated May 13, projects a minimum temperature of 15°C for Seoul on May 14 under clear skies with light easterly winds and morning humidity near 90%, following today's mostly cloudy conditions and 14°C low. However, trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors cooler outcomes at 13°C (55% implied probability) and 12°C (38%), reflecting caution amid mid-May climatological lows averaging 13°C, potential for enhanced radiative cooling overnight after persistent cloud cover limited May 13 heating, and ensemble model variance showing lows in the 12–15°C range. Official station measurements (e.g., Seoul observatory) often register slightly below urban averages; watch KMA's evening update for refined guidance as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
거래량
$23,212종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated May 13, projects a minimum temperature of 15°C for Seoul on May 14 under clear skies with light easterly winds and morning humidity near 90%, following today's mostly cloudy conditions and 14°C low. However, trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors cooler outcomes at 13°C (55% implied probability) and 12°C (38%), reflecting caution amid mid-May climatological lows averaging 13°C, potential for enhanced radiative cooling overnight after persistent cloud cover limited May 13 heating, and ensemble model variance showing lows in the 12–15°C range. Official station measurements (e.g., Seoul observatory) often register slightly below urban averages; watch KMA's evening update for refined guidance as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$23,212종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETKorea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated May 13, projects a minimum temperature of 15°C for Seoul on May 14 under clear skies with light easterly winds and morning humidity near 90%, following today's mostly cloudy conditions and 14°C low. However, trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors cooler outcomes at 13°C (55% implied probability) and 12°C (38%), reflecting caution amid mid-May climatological lows averaging 13°C, potential for enhanced radiative cooling overnight after persistent cloud cover limited May 13 heating, and ensemble model variance showing lows in the 12–15°C range. Official station measurements (e.g., Seoul observatory) often register slightly below urban averages; watch KMA's evening update for refined guidance as resolution nears.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문