Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on an overnight minimum of 20–22°C in Shanghai on June 14, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover and humidity characteristic of the early Meiyu (plum rain) season, which limits radiative cooling and aligns with the market’s overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for exactly 20°C. This positioning reflects climatological baselines showing typical June lows near 20–22°C, reinforced by current observations of overcast conditions and light precipitation that stabilize temperatures. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at risk, treats these official model outputs as the most reliable guide to the day’s recorded minimum. Clearer skies or a temporary break in the frontal boundary could allow greater cooling and shift the outcome downward, though such changes remain unlikely within the remaining resolution window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 14일 상하이에서 최저 기온?
6월 14일 상하이에서 최저 기온?
20°C 99.4%
19°C <1%
17°C 이하 <1%
18°C <1%
$59,499 거래량
$59,499 거래량
2026.06.14
17°C 이하
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C 이상
<1%
20°C 99.4%
19°C <1%
17°C 이하 <1%
18°C <1%
$59,499 거래량
$59,499 거래량
2026.06.14
17°C 이하
$2,921 거래량
<1%
18°C
$4,861 거래량
<1%
19°C
$3,780 거래량
1%
20°C
$5,350 거래량
99%
21°C
$6,849 거래량
<1%
22°C
$6,849 거래량
<1%
23°C
$8,138 거래량
<1%
24°C
$8,002 거래량
<1%
25°C
$7,679 거래량
<1%
26°C
$2,257 거래량
<1%
27°C 이상
$2,811 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on an overnight minimum of 20–22°C in Shanghai on June 14, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover and humidity characteristic of the early Meiyu (plum rain) season, which limits radiative cooling and aligns with the market’s overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for exactly 20°C. This positioning reflects climatological baselines showing typical June lows near 20–22°C, reinforced by current observations of overcast conditions and light precipitation that stabilize temperatures. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at risk, treats these official model outputs as the most reliable guide to the day’s recorded minimum. Clearer skies or a temporary break in the frontal boundary could allow greater cooling and shift the outcome downward, though such changes remain unlikely within the remaining resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$59,499종료일
2026.06.14마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on an overnight minimum of 20–22°C in Shanghai on June 14, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover and humidity characteristic of the early Meiyu (plum rain) season, which limits radiative cooling and aligns with the market’s overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for exactly 20°C. This positioning reflects climatological baselines showing typical June lows near 20–22°C, reinforced by current observations of overcast conditions and light precipitation that stabilize temperatures. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at risk, treats these official model outputs as the most reliable guide to the day’s recorded minimum. Clearer skies or a temporary break in the frontal boundary could allow greater cooling and shift the outcome downward, though such changes remain unlikely within the remaining resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$59,499종료일
2026.06.14마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on an overnight minimum of 20–22°C in Shanghai on June 14, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover and humidity characteristic of the early Meiyu (plum rain) season, which limits radiative cooling and aligns with the market’s overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for exactly 20°C. This positioning reflects climatological baselines showing typical June lows near 20–22°C, reinforced by current observations of overcast conditions and light precipitation that stabilize temperatures. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at risk, treats these official model outputs as the most reliable guide to the day’s recorded minimum. Clearer skies or a temporary break in the frontal boundary could allow greater cooling and shift the outcome downward, though such changes remain unlikely within the remaining resolution window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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