Meloni’s right-wing coalition has maintained parliamentary control and delivered unusual longevity for an Italian government, but a March 2026 justice-system referendum defeat—rejected by 54 percent of voters amid higher-than-expected turnout—has introduced the first notable domestic pressure since 2022. The loss, widely viewed as a proxy vote on her leadership, triggered coalition resignations and prompted splinter moves such as Roberto Vannacci’s new party, while recent polling shows Fratelli d’Italia near 28–29 percent and the broader coalition hovering around 47 percent, close to the threshold for a majority. Foreign-policy frictions, including the suspension of a defense pact with Israel, have added friction, though Meloni continues high-level diplomacy and her personal ratings remain competitive ahead of the 2027 general election. Traders weigh these developments against Italy’s history of short-lived executives and the absence of immediate no-confidence triggers or snap-election momentum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$111,104 거래량
2026.07.31
July 31
<1%
December 31
8%
$111,104 거래량
July 31
$30,210 거래량
<1%
December 31
$12,560 거래량
8%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between December 5, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Meloni’s right-wing coalition has maintained parliamentary control and delivered unusual longevity for an Italian government, but a March 2026 justice-system referendum defeat—rejected by 54 percent of voters amid higher-than-expected turnout—has introduced the first notable domestic pressure since 2022. The loss, widely viewed as a proxy vote on her leadership, triggered coalition resignations and prompted splinter moves such as Roberto Vannacci’s new party, while recent polling shows Fratelli d’Italia near 28–29 percent and the broader coalition hovering around 47 percent, close to the threshold for a majority. Foreign-policy frictions, including the suspension of a defense pact with Israel, have added friction, though Meloni continues high-level diplomacy and her personal ratings remain competitive ahead of the 2027 general election. Traders weigh these developments against Italy’s history of short-lived executives and the absence of immediate no-confidence triggers or snap-election momentum.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
마켓 개설일: Jun 26, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
거래량
$111,104종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jun 26, 2026, 12:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between December 5, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Meloni’s right-wing coalition has maintained parliamentary control and delivered unusual longevity for an Italian government, but a March 2026 justice-system referendum defeat—rejected by 54 percent of voters amid higher-than-expected turnout—has introduced the first notable domestic pressure since 2022. The loss, widely viewed as a proxy vote on her leadership, triggered coalition resignations and prompted splinter moves such as Roberto Vannacci’s new party, while recent polling shows Fratelli d’Italia near 28–29 percent and the broader coalition hovering around 47 percent, close to the threshold for a majority. Foreign-policy frictions, including the suspension of a defense pact with Israel, have added friction, though Meloni continues high-level diplomacy and her personal ratings remain competitive ahead of the 2027 general election. Traders weigh these developments against Italy’s history of short-lived executives and the absence of immediate no-confidence triggers or snap-election momentum.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
거래량
$111,104종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jun 26, 2026, 12:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Meloni’s right-wing coalition has maintained parliamentary control and delivered unusual longevity for an Italian government, but a March 2026 justice-system referendum defeat—rejected by 54 percent of voters amid higher-than-expected turnout—has introduced the first notable domestic pressure since 2022. The loss, widely viewed as a proxy vote on her leadership, triggered coalition resignations and prompted splinter moves such as Roberto Vannacci’s new party, while recent polling shows Fratelli d’Italia near 28–29 percent and the broader coalition hovering around 47 percent, close to the threshold for a majority. Foreign-policy frictions, including the suspension of a defense pact with Israel, have added friction, though Meloni continues high-level diplomacy and her personal ratings remain competitive ahead of the 2027 general election. Traders weigh these developments against Italy’s history of short-lived executives and the absence of immediate no-confidence triggers or snap-election momentum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문