The Democratic nominee is positioned to win New York's 13th congressional district by a wide margin in the November general election, reflecting the seat's entrenched partisan lean across upper Manhattan and the Bronx. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat holds a clear edge in the June 23 Democratic primary and maintains substantial fundraising advantages, while Republican opposition remains minimal. Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the district as solidly Democratic, consistent with its D+32 partisan voting index and decades of lopsided results favoring the party. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A primary upset producing a weakened nominee, unexpected late-breaking scandal, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$29,736 거래량
$29,736 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
6%
$29,736 거래량
$29,736 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$18,286 거래량
94%
공화당
$11,450 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee is positioned to win New York's 13th congressional district by a wide margin in the November general election, reflecting the seat's entrenched partisan lean across upper Manhattan and the Bronx. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat holds a clear edge in the June 23 Democratic primary and maintains substantial fundraising advantages, while Republican opposition remains minimal. Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the district as solidly Democratic, consistent with its D+32 partisan voting index and decades of lopsided results favoring the party. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A primary upset producing a weakened nominee, unexpected late-breaking scandal, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$29,736종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee is positioned to win New York's 13th congressional district by a wide margin in the November general election, reflecting the seat's entrenched partisan lean across upper Manhattan and the Bronx. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat holds a clear edge in the June 23 Democratic primary and maintains substantial fundraising advantages, while Republican opposition remains minimal. Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the district as solidly Democratic, consistent with its D+32 partisan voting index and decades of lopsided results favoring the party. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A primary upset producing a weakened nominee, unexpected late-breaking scandal, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$29,736종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee is positioned to win New York's 13th congressional district by a wide margin in the November general election, reflecting the seat's entrenched partisan lean across upper Manhattan and the Bronx. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat holds a clear edge in the June 23 Democratic primary and maintains substantial fundraising advantages, while Republican opposition remains minimal. Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the district as solidly Democratic, consistent with its D+32 partisan voting index and decades of lopsided results favoring the party. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A primary upset producing a weakened nominee, unexpected late-breaking scandal, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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