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선거·브라질

리우데자네이루 주지사 선거 승리자

icon for 리우데자네이루 주지사 선거 승리자
선거·브라질

리우데자네이루 주지사 선거 승리자

에두아르두 파이스 86%

필리페 쿠리 8.5%

더글라스 루아스 3.7%

Dr. Luizinho <1%

Polymarket

$192,503 거래량

에두아르두 파이스 86%

필리페 쿠리 8.5%

더글라스 루아스 3.7%

Dr. Luizinho <1%

Polymarket

$192,503 거래량

에두아르두 파이스

$13,430 거래량

86%

필리페 쿠리

$11,527 거래량

8%

더글라스 루아스

$3,438 거래량

4%

Dr. Luizinho

$5,164 거래량

1%

에두아르두 파주엘루

$1,517 거래량

<1%

타르시지우 모타

$2,846 거래량

<1%

안토니 가로티뉴

$3,788 거래량

<1%

안드레 세실리아누

$6,397 거래량

<1%

윌슨 위첼

$3,883 거래량

<1%

프레드 파체코

$126,992 거래량

<1%

니콜라 미치오네

$4,287 거래량

<1%

안드레 포르투게스

$1,699 거래량

<1%

린드베르그 파리아스

$2,908 거래량

<1%

치코 마차두

$4,629 거래량

<1%

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes (PSD) leads the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of 34-60% across first-round and runoff scenarios, reflecting his record as mayor on tourism recovery and urban management plus a broad coalition that includes center-right allies for vice-governor. Recent developments include his February 2026 resignation announcement from city hall to focus on the October 4 election, ongoing ticket-building talks with regional figures, and the resignation of incumbent Cláudio Castro, which has not altered Paes’s frontrunner status. Lower probabilities for challengers such as Douglas Ruas (PL), Tarcísio Motta, and Anthony Garotinho align with their single-digit to low-teen polling shares amid limited consolidation of opposition support. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as the dominant drivers ahead of the first-round vote.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
거래량
$192,503
종료일
2026.10.05
마켓 개설일
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes (PSD) leads the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of 34-60% across first-round and runoff scenarios, reflecting his record as mayor on tourism recovery and urban management plus a broad coalition that includes center-right allies for vice-governor. Recent developments include his February 2026 resignation announcement from city hall to focus on the October 4 election, ongoing ticket-building talks with regional figures, and the resignation of incumbent Cláudio Castro, which has not altered Paes’s frontrunner status. Lower probabilities for challengers such as Douglas Ruas (PL), Tarcísio Motta, and Anthony Garotinho align with their single-digit to low-teen polling shares amid limited consolidation of opposition support. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as the dominant drivers ahead of the first-round vote.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
거래량
$192,503
종료일
2026.10.05
마켓 개설일
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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자주 묻는 질문

"리우데자네이루 주지사 선거 승리자"은 14개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 86%의 "에두아르두 파이스"이며, 이어서 8%의 "필리페 쿠리"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 86¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 86%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "리우데자네이루 주지사 선거 승리자"은 총 $192.5K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Jun 9, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"리우데자네이루 주지사 선거 승리자"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 14개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"리우데자네이루 주지사 선거 승리자"의 현재 유력 후보는 86%의 "에두아르두 파이스"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 86%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 8%의 "필리페 쿠리"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"리우데자네이루 주지사 선거 승리자"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.