Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor of Santa Catarina seeking re-election on October 4, 2026, holds a commanding lead in the Polymarket market at 90.5%. Recent polls from firms including Mapa, Neokemp, and Veritá consistently show him at 54-71% in first-round scenarios, well ahead of fragmented challengers such as João Rodrigues (PSD), Gelson Merísio, Décio Lima (PT), and others. This positioning stems from his 2022 landslide victory, strong approval tied to state economic performance and security measures, and recent coalition expansions including PSDB endorsement. Trader consensus reflects these factors plus opposition disarray in Brazil's conservative southern state, with limited realistic paths to alter the outcome absent major late developments like scandals or sudden opposition consolidation within the remaining campaign window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트조르지뉴 멜루 87%
마르셀로 브리가데이루 4.8%
조앙 호드리게스 4.3%
겔송 메리지우 <1%
$87,721 거래량
$87,721 거래량
조르지뉴 멜루
87%
마르셀로 브리가데이루
5%
조앙 호드리게스
4%
겔송 메리지우
<1%
아프라니우 보프프레
<1%
마르코스 비에이라
<1%
데시오 리마
<1%
아드리아누 실바
<1%
조르지뉴 멜루 87%
마르셀로 브리가데이루 4.8%
조앙 호드리게스 4.3%
겔송 메리지우 <1%
$87,721 거래량
$87,721 거래량
조르지뉴 멜루
$6,569 거래량
87%
마르셀로 브리가데이루
$14,083 거래량
5%
조앙 호드리게스
$1,096 거래량
4%
겔송 메리지우
$994 거래량
<1%
아프라니우 보프프레
$907 거래량
<1%
마르코스 비에이라
$923 거래량
<1%
데시오 리마
$62,571 거래량
<1%
아드리아누 실바
$579 거래량
<1%
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor of Santa Catarina seeking re-election on October 4, 2026, holds a commanding lead in the Polymarket market at 90.5%. Recent polls from firms including Mapa, Neokemp, and Veritá consistently show him at 54-71% in first-round scenarios, well ahead of fragmented challengers such as João Rodrigues (PSD), Gelson Merísio, Décio Lima (PT), and others. This positioning stems from his 2022 landslide victory, strong approval tied to state economic performance and security measures, and recent coalition expansions including PSDB endorsement. Trader consensus reflects these factors plus opposition disarray in Brazil's conservative southern state, with limited realistic paths to alter the outcome absent major late developments like scandals or sudden opposition consolidation within the remaining campaign window.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
마켓 개설일: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
거래량
$87,721마켓 개설일
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor of Santa Catarina seeking re-election on October 4, 2026, holds a commanding lead in the Polymarket market at 90.5%. Recent polls from firms including Mapa, Neokemp, and Veritá consistently show him at 54-71% in first-round scenarios, well ahead of fragmented challengers such as João Rodrigues (PSD), Gelson Merísio, Décio Lima (PT), and others. This positioning stems from his 2022 landslide victory, strong approval tied to state economic performance and security measures, and recent coalition expansions including PSDB endorsement. Trader consensus reflects these factors plus opposition disarray in Brazil's conservative southern state, with limited realistic paths to alter the outcome absent major late developments like scandals or sudden opposition consolidation within the remaining campaign window.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
거래량
$87,721마켓 개설일
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor of Santa Catarina seeking re-election on October 4, 2026, holds a commanding lead in the Polymarket market at 90.5%. Recent polls from firms including Mapa, Neokemp, and Veritá consistently show him at 54-71% in first-round scenarios, well ahead of fragmented challengers such as João Rodrigues (PSD), Gelson Merísio, Décio Lima (PT), and others. This positioning stems from his 2022 landslide victory, strong approval tied to state economic performance and security measures, and recent coalition expansions including PSDB endorsement. Trader consensus reflects these factors plus opposition disarray in Brazil's conservative southern state, with limited realistic paths to alter the outcome absent major late developments like scandals or sudden opposition consolidation within the remaining campaign window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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