Tarcísio de Freitas holds an overwhelming lead in trader consensus for the São Paulo gubernatorial contest due to consistent polling advantages as the incumbent, with recent surveys from Datafolha and Genial/Quaest placing him between 38% and 49% against Fernando Haddad’s 26% to 42% range. This positioning reflects his administration’s focus on privatization efforts, high approval ratings, and the launch of the SuperAção SP anti-poverty initiative targeting vulnerable families. Haddad, positioned as the primary opposition contender from the Workers’ Party, trails amid concerns within his coalition over the absence of viable third options that could force a runoff. Lower-probability names such as Kim Kataguiri, Erika Hilton, and Márcio França register minimal support in the same surveys, limiting their perceived paths to victory ahead of the October 2026 vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Tarcísio de Freitas 82%
김 카타구리 10.2%
Fernando Haddad 8.5%
Erika Hilton 1.9%
$26,317 거래량
$26,317 거래량
2026.10.04
Tarcísio de Freitas
82%
김 카타구리
10%
Fernando Haddad
9%
Erika Hilton
2%
Márcio França
1%
Tarcísio de Freitas 82%
김 카타구리 10.2%
Fernando Haddad 8.5%
Erika Hilton 1.9%
$26,317 거래량
$26,317 거래량
2026.10.04
Tarcísio de Freitas
$11,929 거래량
82%
김 카타구리
$4,186 거래량
10%
Fernando Haddad
$3,970 거래량
9%
Erika Hilton
$3,589 거래량
2%
Márcio França
$2,644 거래량
1%
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Tarcísio de Freitas holds an overwhelming lead in trader consensus for the São Paulo gubernatorial contest due to consistent polling advantages as the incumbent, with recent surveys from Datafolha and Genial/Quaest placing him between 38% and 49% against Fernando Haddad’s 26% to 42% range. This positioning reflects his administration’s focus on privatization efforts, high approval ratings, and the launch of the SuperAção SP anti-poverty initiative targeting vulnerable families. Haddad, positioned as the primary opposition contender from the Workers’ Party, trails amid concerns within his coalition over the absence of viable third options that could force a runoff. Lower-probability names such as Kim Kataguiri, Erika Hilton, and Márcio França register minimal support in the same surveys, limiting their perceived paths to victory ahead of the October 2026 vote.
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
마켓 개설일: Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ET
거래량
$26,317종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Tarcísio de Freitas holds an overwhelming lead in trader consensus for the São Paulo gubernatorial contest due to consistent polling advantages as the incumbent, with recent surveys from Datafolha and Genial/Quaest placing him between 38% and 49% against Fernando Haddad’s 26% to 42% range. This positioning reflects his administration’s focus on privatization efforts, high approval ratings, and the launch of the SuperAção SP anti-poverty initiative targeting vulnerable families. Haddad, positioned as the primary opposition contender from the Workers’ Party, trails amid concerns within his coalition over the absence of viable third options that could force a runoff. Lower-probability names such as Kim Kataguiri, Erika Hilton, and Márcio França register minimal support in the same surveys, limiting their perceived paths to victory ahead of the October 2026 vote.
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
거래량
$26,317종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tarcísio de Freitas holds an overwhelming lead in trader consensus for the São Paulo gubernatorial contest due to consistent polling advantages as the incumbent, with recent surveys from Datafolha and Genial/Quaest placing him between 38% and 49% against Fernando Haddad’s 26% to 42% range. This positioning reflects his administration’s focus on privatization efforts, high approval ratings, and the launch of the SuperAção SP anti-poverty initiative targeting vulnerable families. Haddad, positioned as the primary opposition contender from the Workers’ Party, trails amid concerns within his coalition over the absence of viable third options that could force a runoff. Lower-probability names such as Kim Kataguiri, Erika Hilton, and Márcio França register minimal support in the same surveys, limiting their perceived paths to victory ahead of the October 2026 vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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