The civil war between Sudan’s armed forces and the Rapid Support Forces has entered its fourth year amid a persistent military stalemate, with each side controlling distinct regions and refusing to accept terms that dilute its battlefield position. Recent diplomatic pushes, including Quad-mediated proposals for a three-month humanitarian truce followed by political talks, have failed to produce agreement, as the army rejected plans seen as favoring the paramilitaries and the RSF continued operations despite earlier unilateral truce announcements. External backers’ competing interests, combined with battlefield developments such as the RSF’s seizure of El-Fasher in late 2025 and ongoing clashes in Kordofan and Darfur, have entrenched the conflict. International calls for an immediate cessation persist through UN channels and donor conferences, yet both factions prioritize territorial gains and leverage over compromise, leaving little near-term prospect for a verifiable nationwide ceasefire.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$92,664 거래량
2026.06.30
2026년 6월 30일
13%
2026년 12월 31일
16%
$92,664 거래량
2026년 6월 30일
$33,225 거래량
13%
2026년 12월 31일
$291 거래량
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.The civil war between Sudan’s armed forces and the Rapid Support Forces has entered its fourth year amid a persistent military stalemate, with each side controlling distinct regions and refusing to accept terms that dilute its battlefield position. Recent diplomatic pushes, including Quad-mediated proposals for a three-month humanitarian truce followed by political talks, have failed to produce agreement, as the army rejected plans seen as favoring the paramilitaries and the RSF continued operations despite earlier unilateral truce announcements. External backers’ competing interests, combined with battlefield developments such as the RSF’s seizure of El-Fasher in late 2025 and ongoing clashes in Kordofan and Darfur, have entrenched the conflict. International calls for an immediate cessation persist through UN channels and donor conferences, yet both factions prioritize territorial gains and leverage over compromise, leaving little near-term prospect for a verifiable nationwide ceasefire.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
마켓 개설일: Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
거래량
$92,664종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.The civil war between Sudan’s armed forces and the Rapid Support Forces has entered its fourth year amid a persistent military stalemate, with each side controlling distinct regions and refusing to accept terms that dilute its battlefield position. Recent diplomatic pushes, including Quad-mediated proposals for a three-month humanitarian truce followed by political talks, have failed to produce agreement, as the army rejected plans seen as favoring the paramilitaries and the RSF continued operations despite earlier unilateral truce announcements. External backers’ competing interests, combined with battlefield developments such as the RSF’s seizure of El-Fasher in late 2025 and ongoing clashes in Kordofan and Darfur, have entrenched the conflict. International calls for an immediate cessation persist through UN channels and donor conferences, yet both factions prioritize territorial gains and leverage over compromise, leaving little near-term prospect for a verifiable nationwide ceasefire.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
거래량
$92,664종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The civil war between Sudan’s armed forces and the Rapid Support Forces has entered its fourth year amid a persistent military stalemate, with each side controlling distinct regions and refusing to accept terms that dilute its battlefield position. Recent diplomatic pushes, including Quad-mediated proposals for a three-month humanitarian truce followed by political talks, have failed to produce agreement, as the army rejected plans seen as favoring the paramilitaries and the RSF continued operations despite earlier unilateral truce announcements. External backers’ competing interests, combined with battlefield developments such as the RSF’s seizure of El-Fasher in late 2025 and ongoing clashes in Kordofan and Darfur, have entrenched the conflict. International calls for an immediate cessation persist through UN channels and donor conferences, yet both factions prioritize territorial gains and leverage over compromise, leaving little near-term prospect for a verifiable nationwide ceasefire.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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