Ongoing military tensions from the 2026 Iran conflict, which erupted in late February with US-Iran exchanges and subsequent strikes, continue to preclude any restoration of formal diplomatic relations. A fragile ceasefire remains under pressure after recent rejections of Iranian proposals on the Strait of Hormuz blockade, sanctions relief, and nuclear limits, with indirect talks through Pakistani mediators focused solely on de-escalation. The United States maintains maximum-pressure sanctions on Iranian oil exports and relies on Switzerland as its protecting power in Tehran, without any announced steps toward embassy reopening. These structural barriers, rooted in the absence of ties since 1979, underpin the strong trader consensus against normalization occurring this year.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$80,059 거래량
$80,059 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$80,059 거래량
$80,059 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing military tensions from the 2026 Iran conflict, which erupted in late February with US-Iran exchanges and subsequent strikes, continue to preclude any restoration of formal diplomatic relations. A fragile ceasefire remains under pressure after recent rejections of Iranian proposals on the Strait of Hormuz blockade, sanctions relief, and nuclear limits, with indirect talks through Pakistani mediators focused solely on de-escalation. The United States maintains maximum-pressure sanctions on Iranian oil exports and relies on Switzerland as its protecting power in Tehran, without any announced steps toward embassy reopening. These structural barriers, rooted in the absence of ties since 1979, underpin the strong trader consensus against normalization occurring this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
거래량
$80,059종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing military tensions from the 2026 Iran conflict, which erupted in late February with US-Iran exchanges and subsequent strikes, continue to preclude any restoration of formal diplomatic relations. A fragile ceasefire remains under pressure after recent rejections of Iranian proposals on the Strait of Hormuz blockade, sanctions relief, and nuclear limits, with indirect talks through Pakistani mediators focused solely on de-escalation. The United States maintains maximum-pressure sanctions on Iranian oil exports and relies on Switzerland as its protecting power in Tehran, without any announced steps toward embassy reopening. These structural barriers, rooted in the absence of ties since 1979, underpin the strong trader consensus against normalization occurring this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$80,059종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing military tensions from the 2026 Iran conflict, which erupted in late February with US-Iran exchanges and subsequent strikes, continue to preclude any restoration of formal diplomatic relations. A fragile ceasefire remains under pressure after recent rejections of Iranian proposals on the Strait of Hormuz blockade, sanctions relief, and nuclear limits, with indirect talks through Pakistani mediators focused solely on de-escalation. The United States maintains maximum-pressure sanctions on Iranian oil exports and relies on Switzerland as its protecting power in Tehran, without any announced steps toward embassy reopening. These structural barriers, rooted in the absence of ties since 1979, underpin the strong trader consensus against normalization occurring this year.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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