The recent multi-country hantavirus outbreak—eight cases including three deaths from Andes virus linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship in the South Atlantic, confirmed by WHO on May 6—has driven Polymarket's 75.5% implied probability for a CDC Level 3 Travel Health Notice by December 31, as traders anticipate potential escalation amid CDC's Health Alert Network advisory (HAN-00528) and Emergency Operations Center activation at its lowest Level 3 tier for monitoring. No Level 3 notices are active per CDC's latest update, though ongoing Level 2 alerts for meningococcal disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, clade II mpox in Ghana and Liberia, and persistent H5N1 reservoirs in U.S. wild birds and poultry signal elevated outbreak risks. Epidemiological surveillance and seasonal transmission dynamics remain pivotal, with model projections highlighting uncertainty in human-to-human spread thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
$117,038 Wol.
$117,038 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$117,038 Wol.
$117,038 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The recent multi-country hantavirus outbreak—eight cases including three deaths from Andes virus linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship in the South Atlantic, confirmed by WHO on May 6—has driven Polymarket's 75.5% implied probability for a CDC Level 3 Travel Health Notice by December 31, as traders anticipate potential escalation amid CDC's Health Alert Network advisory (HAN-00528) and Emergency Operations Center activation at its lowest Level 3 tier for monitoring. No Level 3 notices are active per CDC's latest update, though ongoing Level 2 alerts for meningococcal disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, clade II mpox in Ghana and Liberia, and persistent H5N1 reservoirs in U.S. wild birds and poultry signal elevated outbreak risks. Epidemiological surveillance and seasonal transmission dynamics remain pivotal, with model projections highlighting uncertainty in human-to-human spread thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Wolumen
$117,038Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The recent multi-country hantavirus outbreak—eight cases including three deaths from Andes virus linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship in the South Atlantic, confirmed by WHO on May 6—has driven Polymarket's 75.5% implied probability for a CDC Level 3 Travel Health Notice by December 31, as traders anticipate potential escalation amid CDC's Health Alert Network advisory (HAN-00528) and Emergency Operations Center activation at its lowest Level 3 tier for monitoring. No Level 3 notices are active per CDC's latest update, though ongoing Level 2 alerts for meningococcal disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, clade II mpox in Ghana and Liberia, and persistent H5N1 reservoirs in U.S. wild birds and poultry signal elevated outbreak risks. Epidemiological surveillance and seasonal transmission dynamics remain pivotal, with model projections highlighting uncertainty in human-to-human spread thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$117,038Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The recent multi-country hantavirus outbreak—eight cases including three deaths from Andes virus linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship in the South Atlantic, confirmed by WHO on May 6—has driven Polymarket's 75.5% implied probability for a CDC Level 3 Travel Health Notice by December 31, as traders anticipate potential escalation amid CDC's Health Alert Network advisory (HAN-00528) and Emergency Operations Center activation at its lowest Level 3 tier for monitoring. No Level 3 notices are active per CDC's latest update, though ongoing Level 2 alerts for meningococcal disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, clade II mpox in Ghana and Liberia, and persistent H5N1 reservoirs in U.S. wild birds and poultry signal elevated outbreak risks. Epidemiological surveillance and seasonal transmission dynamics remain pivotal, with model projections highlighting uncertainty in human-to-human spread thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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