**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a daily maximum of 32°C in Ankara today (August 5, 2026), with 56.5% implied probability, followed by 31°C (26%) and 33°C (14.5%).** This distribution mirrors current official and model forecasts showing a peak near 32°C under sunny skies, clear conditions, and light winds. Ankara’s continental climate in early August typically produces highs of 30–33°C when high pressure dominates, suppressing cloud cover and allowing strong daytime insolation. With no significant frontal systems, precipitation, or strong advection expected, surface heating should reach but not substantially exceed this range. Hourly guidance peaks around 32°C in the afternoon before rapid evening cooling. The tight clustering of probabilities around 31–33°C reflects minor ensemble spread in numerical weather prediction models and uncertainty in the precise official station reading (e.g., Turkish State Meteorological Service at Esenboğa or central Ankara). Stable synoptic conditions over the past 48 hours have reinforced this outcome, with no recent data releases or model shifts introducing higher or lower extremes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on August 5?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 5?
32°C 56%
31°C 26%
33°C 15%
30°C <1%
$20,950 Wol.
$20,950 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
26%
32°C
56%
33°C
15%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 56%
31°C 26%
33°C 15%
30°C <1%
$20,950 Wol.
$20,950 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
28°C or below
$3,025 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$1,202 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$1,486 Wol.
1%
31°C
$3,487 Wol.
26%
32°C
$4,298 Wol.
56%
33°C
$3,109 Wol.
15%
34°C
$2,096 Wol.
1%
35°C
$695 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$663 Wol.
<1%
37°C
$455 Wol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$434 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a daily maximum of 32°C in Ankara today (August 5, 2026), with 56.5% implied probability, followed by 31°C (26%) and 33°C (14.5%).** This distribution mirrors current official and model forecasts showing a peak near 32°C under sunny skies, clear conditions, and light winds.
Ankara’s continental climate in early August typically produces highs of 30–33°C when high pressure dominates, suppressing cloud cover and allowing strong daytime insolation. With no significant frontal systems, precipitation, or strong advection expected, surface heating should reach but not substantially exceed this range. Hourly guidance peaks around 32°C in the afternoon before rapid evening cooling.
The tight clustering of probabilities around 31–33°C reflects minor ensemble spread in numerical weather prediction models and uncertainty in the precise official station reading (e.g., Turkish State Meteorological Service at Esenboğa or central Ankara). Stable synoptic conditions over the past 48 hours have reinforced this outcome, with no recent data releases or model shifts introducing higher or lower extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$20,950Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a daily maximum of 32°C in Ankara today (August 5, 2026), with 56.5% implied probability, followed by 31°C (26%) and 33°C (14.5%).** This distribution mirrors current official and model forecasts showing a peak near 32°C under sunny skies, clear conditions, and light winds.
Ankara’s continental climate in early August typically produces highs of 30–33°C when high pressure dominates, suppressing cloud cover and allowing strong daytime insolation. With no significant frontal systems, precipitation, or strong advection expected, surface heating should reach but not substantially exceed this range. Hourly guidance peaks around 32°C in the afternoon before rapid evening cooling.
The tight clustering of probabilities around 31–33°C reflects minor ensemble spread in numerical weather prediction models and uncertainty in the precise official station reading (e.g., Turkish State Meteorological Service at Esenboğa or central Ankara). Stable synoptic conditions over the past 48 hours have reinforced this outcome, with no recent data releases or model shifts introducing higher or lower extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$20,950Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a daily maximum of 32°C in Ankara today (August 5, 2026), with 56.5% implied probability, followed by 31°C (26%) and 33°C (14.5%).** This distribution mirrors current official and model forecasts showing a peak near 32°C under sunny skies, clear conditions, and light winds. Ankara’s continental climate in early August typically produces highs of 30–33°C when high pressure dominates, suppressing cloud cover and allowing strong daytime insolation. With no significant frontal systems, precipitation, or strong advection expected, surface heating should reach but not substantially exceed this range. Hourly guidance peaks around 32°C in the afternoon before rapid evening cooling. The tight clustering of probabilities around 31–33°C reflects minor ensemble spread in numerical weather prediction models and uncertainty in the precise official station reading (e.g., Turkish State Meteorological Service at Esenboğa or central Ankara). Stable synoptic conditions over the past 48 hours have reinforced this outcome, with no recent data releases or model shifts introducing higher or lower extremes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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