Latest forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration projects a daytime high of 24-25°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport on May 15, under overcast conditions with possible light showers, driving the market-implied 90% probability for 23°C or higher. Chengdu's basin topography traps heat during spring, supporting typical May highs of 26-29°C as the hot season begins, with recent days like May 14 forecasted at 27-30°C amid similar patterns. While passing showers introduce minor uncertainty that could cap peaks near 22°C, model runs show limited precipitation impact on afternoon heating. Traders await hourly observations from Wunderground for final resolution, with CMA updates potentially refining guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 15?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 15?
23°C or higher 91%
22°C 5.6%
21°C 1.4%
20°C <1%
NOWE
$13,883 Wol.
NOWE
$13,883 Wol.
May 15, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C or higher
91%
23°C or higher 91%
22°C 5.6%
21°C 1.4%
20°C <1%
NOWE
$13,883 Wol.
NOWE
$13,883 Wol.
May 15, 2026
13°C or below
$1,206 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$1,150 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$1,339 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$720 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$644 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$1,635 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$1,314 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$1,448 Wol.
1%
21°C
$1,509 Wol.
1%
22°C
$1,680 Wol.
6%
23°C or higher
$1,236 Wol.
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration projects a daytime high of 24-25°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport on May 15, under overcast conditions with possible light showers, driving the market-implied 90% probability for 23°C or higher. Chengdu's basin topography traps heat during spring, supporting typical May highs of 26-29°C as the hot season begins, with recent days like May 14 forecasted at 27-30°C amid similar patterns. While passing showers introduce minor uncertainty that could cap peaks near 22°C, model runs show limited precipitation impact on afternoon heating. Traders await hourly observations from Wunderground for final resolution, with CMA updates potentially refining guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$13,883Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration projects a daytime high of 24-25°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport on May 15, under overcast conditions with possible light showers, driving the market-implied 90% probability for 23°C or higher. Chengdu's basin topography traps heat during spring, supporting typical May highs of 26-29°C as the hot season begins, with recent days like May 14 forecasted at 27-30°C amid similar patterns. While passing showers introduce minor uncertainty that could cap peaks near 22°C, model runs show limited precipitation impact on afternoon heating. Traders await hourly observations from Wunderground for final resolution, with CMA updates potentially refining guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$13,883Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration projects a daytime high of 24-25°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport on May 15, under overcast conditions with possible light showers, driving the market-implied 90% probability for 23°C or higher. Chengdu's basin topography traps heat during spring, supporting typical May highs of 26-29°C as the hot season begins, with recent days like May 14 forecasted at 27-30°C amid similar patterns. While passing showers introduce minor uncertainty that could cap peaks near 22°C, model runs show limited precipitation impact on afternoon heating. Traders await hourly observations from Wunderground for final resolution, with CMA updates potentially refining guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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