Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting global models indicate a daily maximum near 20–22 °C for Helsinki on August 5, driven by typical early-August synoptic patterns with moderate southwesterly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This range aligns closely with the long-term climatological average high of 19–21 °C for the period, producing market-implied odds heavily concentrated on 21 °C and 22 °C as the most probable outcomes at the official Helsinki-Vantaa station. No significant warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification is evident in the latest runs, keeping higher thresholds like 23 °C at low probability while supporting the slim but non-zero chance for 20 °C if cloud cover increases.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 5?
21°C 50%
22°C 35%
20°C 16%
23°C 3%
$15,048 Wol.
$15,048 Wol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
16%
21°C
50%
22°C
35%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 50%
22°C 35%
20°C 16%
23°C 3%
$15,048 Wol.
$15,048 Wol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
16%
21°C
50%
22°C
35%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting global models indicate a daily maximum near 20–22 °C for Helsinki on August 5, driven by typical early-August synoptic patterns with moderate southwesterly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This range aligns closely with the long-term climatological average high of 19–21 °C for the period, producing market-implied odds heavily concentrated on 21 °C and 22 °C as the most probable outcomes at the official Helsinki-Vantaa station. No significant warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification is evident in the latest runs, keeping higher thresholds like 23 °C at low probability while supporting the slim but non-zero chance for 20 °C if cloud cover increases.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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