Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89% implied probability to a highest temperature of 34°C in Lagos today, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction models—including ECMWF and GFS ensembles—alongside Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) outlooks forecasting daytime peaks around 34°C under partly cloudy skies with low rainfall risk. Mid-May marks the early wet season transition in Lagos's tropical maritime climate, where historical average highs hover near 32°C but routinely hit 34°C during brief dry intervals, as seen in recent NiMet daily bulletins showing stable high-pressure dominance over the past week. Moderate easterly winds and high humidity cap intensification potential, keeping 35°C+ outcomes below 10%; real-time observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport stations will confirm by evening local time.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lagos on May 14?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 14?
34°C 89.8%
35°C 7.6%
36°C 4.4%
37°C or higher 3.6%
$27,012 Wol.
$27,012 Wol.
May 14, 2026
34°C
90%
35°C
8%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
4%
34°C 89.8%
35°C 7.6%
36°C 4.4%
37°C or higher 3.6%
$27,012 Wol.
$27,012 Wol.
May 14, 2026
34°C
$2,690 Wol.
90%
35°C
$1,650 Wol.
8%
36°C
$2,712 Wol.
4%
37°C or higher
$4,083 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89% implied probability to a highest temperature of 34°C in Lagos today, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction models—including ECMWF and GFS ensembles—alongside Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) outlooks forecasting daytime peaks around 34°C under partly cloudy skies with low rainfall risk. Mid-May marks the early wet season transition in Lagos's tropical maritime climate, where historical average highs hover near 32°C but routinely hit 34°C during brief dry intervals, as seen in recent NiMet daily bulletins showing stable high-pressure dominance over the past week. Moderate easterly winds and high humidity cap intensification potential, keeping 35°C+ outcomes below 10%; real-time observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport stations will confirm by evening local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Wolumen
$27,012Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89% implied probability to a highest temperature of 34°C in Lagos today, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction models—including ECMWF and GFS ensembles—alongside Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) outlooks forecasting daytime peaks around 34°C under partly cloudy skies with low rainfall risk. Mid-May marks the early wet season transition in Lagos's tropical maritime climate, where historical average highs hover near 32°C but routinely hit 34°C during brief dry intervals, as seen in recent NiMet daily bulletins showing stable high-pressure dominance over the past week. Moderate easterly winds and high humidity cap intensification potential, keeping 35°C+ outcomes below 10%; real-time observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport stations will confirm by evening local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$27,012Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89% implied probability to a highest temperature of 34°C in Lagos today, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction models—including ECMWF and GFS ensembles—alongside Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) outlooks forecasting daytime peaks around 34°C under partly cloudy skies with low rainfall risk. Mid-May marks the early wet season transition in Lagos's tropical maritime climate, where historical average highs hover near 32°C but routinely hit 34°C during brief dry intervals, as seen in recent NiMet daily bulletins showing stable high-pressure dominance over the past week. Moderate easterly winds and high humidity cap intensification potential, keeping 35°C+ outcomes below 10%; real-time observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport stations will confirm by evening local time.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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