Official AEMET measurements and station data from Madrid confirm a daily maximum of 40°C on August 13, 2026, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and northerly advection of warm air masses under clear skies that suppressed cloud cover and enhanced solar heating. This aligns with broader 2026 summer patterns, including elevated baseline temperatures from prior heat episodes and model consensus on surface energy budgets favoring peaks at or above this threshold. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the strength of verified observations over forecasts. Potential challenges include post-event data revisions from the primary reporting station or reclassification of the exact peak reading, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary values are validated.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on August 13?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 13?
40°C 100.0%
35°C or below <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$83,343 Wol.
$83,343 Wol.
Aug 13, 2026
35°C or below
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
Yes
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
40°C 100.0%
35°C or below <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$83,343 Wol.
$83,343 Wol.
Aug 13, 2026
35°C or below
$2,831 Wol.
No
36°C
$1,579 Wol.
No
37°C
$4,174 Wol.
No
38°C
$7,296 Wol.
No
39°C
$22,995 Wol.
No
40°C
$26,524 Wol.
Yes
41°C
$13,753 Wol.
No
42°C
$1,499 Wol.
No
43°C
$1,266 Wol.
No
44°C
$1,063 Wol.
No
45°C or higher
$365 Wol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official AEMET measurements and station data from Madrid confirm a daily maximum of 40°C on August 13, 2026, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and northerly advection of warm air masses under clear skies that suppressed cloud cover and enhanced solar heating. This aligns with broader 2026 summer patterns, including elevated baseline temperatures from prior heat episodes and model consensus on surface energy budgets favoring peaks at or above this threshold. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the strength of verified observations over forecasts. Potential challenges include post-event data revisions from the primary reporting station or reclassification of the exact peak reading, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary values are validated.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$83,343Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official AEMET measurements and station data from Madrid confirm a daily maximum of 40°C on August 13, 2026, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and northerly advection of warm air masses under clear skies that suppressed cloud cover and enhanced solar heating. This aligns with broader 2026 summer patterns, including elevated baseline temperatures from prior heat episodes and model consensus on surface energy budgets favoring peaks at or above this threshold. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the strength of verified observations over forecasts. Potential challenges include post-event data revisions from the primary reporting station or reclassification of the exact peak reading, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary values are validated.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$83,343Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official AEMET measurements and station data from Madrid confirm a daily maximum of 40°C on August 13, 2026, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and northerly advection of warm air masses under clear skies that suppressed cloud cover and enhanced solar heating. This aligns with broader 2026 summer patterns, including elevated baseline temperatures from prior heat episodes and model consensus on surface energy budgets favoring peaks at or above this threshold. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the strength of verified observations over forecasts. Potential challenges include post-event data revisions from the primary reporting station or reclassification of the exact peak reading, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary values are validated.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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