Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin split between 25°C (38.5%) and 26°C (37.0%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 15, mirroring genuine uncertainty in the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS, which converge on peaks near 25°C amid overcast low-level clouds and strengthening Mediterranean sea breezes. Following a recent heat spike—34°C inland on May 12 and 30–32°C expected today under a high-pressure ridge—the synoptic pattern is shifting toward coastal moderation, with westerly winds limiting insolation through potential cloud persistence or early sea breeze onset versus afternoon clearing. Historical mid-May highs average 26–27°C, but current conditions tilt lower; watch for IMS updates later today ahead of resolution via NOAA measurements at Ben Gurion Airport.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 15?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 15?
25°C 40%
26°C 39%
24°C 14%
27°C 7%
NOWE
$13,291 Wol.
NOWE
$13,291 Wol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
14%
25°C
40%
26°C
39%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
2%
25°C 40%
26°C 39%
24°C 14%
27°C 7%
NOWE
$13,291 Wol.
NOWE
$13,291 Wol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
$1,278 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$1,615 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$1,450 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$1,214 Wol.
1%
23°C
$732 Wol.
2%
24°C
$1,158 Wol.
14%
25°C
$868 Wol.
40%
26°C
$1,040 Wol.
39%
27°C
$591 Wol.
7%
28°C
$2,128 Wol.
2%
29°C or higher
$1,281 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin split between 25°C (38.5%) and 26°C (37.0%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 15, mirroring genuine uncertainty in the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS, which converge on peaks near 25°C amid overcast low-level clouds and strengthening Mediterranean sea breezes. Following a recent heat spike—34°C inland on May 12 and 30–32°C expected today under a high-pressure ridge—the synoptic pattern is shifting toward coastal moderation, with westerly winds limiting insolation through potential cloud persistence or early sea breeze onset versus afternoon clearing. Historical mid-May highs average 26–27°C, but current conditions tilt lower; watch for IMS updates later today ahead of resolution via NOAA measurements at Ben Gurion Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$13,291Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin split between 25°C (38.5%) and 26°C (37.0%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 15, mirroring genuine uncertainty in the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS, which converge on peaks near 25°C amid overcast low-level clouds and strengthening Mediterranean sea breezes. Following a recent heat spike—34°C inland on May 12 and 30–32°C expected today under a high-pressure ridge—the synoptic pattern is shifting toward coastal moderation, with westerly winds limiting insolation through potential cloud persistence or early sea breeze onset versus afternoon clearing. Historical mid-May highs average 26–27°C, but current conditions tilt lower; watch for IMS updates later today ahead of resolution via NOAA measurements at Ben Gurion Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$13,291Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin split between 25°C (38.5%) and 26°C (37.0%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 15, mirroring genuine uncertainty in the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS, which converge on peaks near 25°C amid overcast low-level clouds and strengthening Mediterranean sea breezes. Following a recent heat spike—34°C inland on May 12 and 30–32°C expected today under a high-pressure ridge—the synoptic pattern is shifting toward coastal moderation, with westerly winds limiting insolation through potential cloud persistence or early sea breeze onset versus afternoon clearing. Historical mid-May highs average 26–27°C, but current conditions tilt lower; watch for IMS updates later today ahead of resolution via NOAA measurements at Ben Gurion Airport.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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