Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Shenzhen's minimum temperature on August 27 will likely fall in the 25–28°C range, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity typical of the region's late-summer monsoon pattern that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with historical August lows near 26°C while incorporating short-term variability from southern China weather systems. Trader sentiment, reflected in the elevated implied probability for 22°C or below alongside clustered odds near 26–27°C, captures model uncertainty around precipitation timing and any influx of cooler maritime air. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27?
22°C or below 71%
29°C 49%
30°C 46%
31°C 46%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
22°C or below
71%
23°C
42%
24°C
42%
25°C
45%
26°C
28%
27°C
32%
28°C
21%
29°C
49%
30°C
46%
31°C
46%
32°C or higher
2%
22°C or below 71%
29°C 49%
30°C 46%
31°C 46%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Wol.
71%
23°C
$0 Wol.
42%
24°C
$0 Wol.
42%
25°C
$0 Wol.
45%
26°C
$0 Wol.
28%
27°C
$0 Wol.
32%
28°C
$0 Wol.
21%
29°C
$0 Wol.
49%
30°C
$0 Wol.
46%
31°C
$0 Wol.
46%
32°C or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Shenzhen's minimum temperature on August 27 will likely fall in the 25–28°C range, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity typical of the region's late-summer monsoon pattern that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with historical August lows near 26°C while incorporating short-term variability from southern China weather systems. Trader sentiment, reflected in the elevated implied probability for 22°C or below alongside clustered odds near 26–27°C, captures model uncertainty around precipitation timing and any influx of cooler maritime air. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Shenzhen's minimum temperature on August 27 will likely fall in the 25–28°C range, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity typical of the region's late-summer monsoon pattern that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with historical August lows near 26°C while incorporating short-term variability from southern China weather systems. Trader sentiment, reflected in the elevated implied probability for 22°C or below alongside clustered odds near 26–27°C, captures model uncertainty around precipitation timing and any influx of cooler maritime air. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Shenzhen's minimum temperature on August 27 will likely fall in the 25–28°C range, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity typical of the region's late-summer monsoon pattern that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with historical August lows near 26°C while incorporating short-term variability from southern China weather systems. Trader sentiment, reflected in the elevated implied probability for 22°C or below alongside clustered odds near 26–27°C, captures model uncertainty around precipitation timing and any influx of cooler maritime air. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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