Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds an overwhelming trader consensus at 86% for first place in the Pará Senate race, reflecting his strong position as the outgoing governor with approval ratings near 63% and deep family political roots in the state. His recent resignation to pursue the seat, combined with MDB organizational backing, has consolidated support ahead of the October 2026 vote. Recent Genial/Quaest polling shows him leading with 21-34% support depending on the scenario, well ahead of federal deputy Éder Mauro (PL) and a fragmented field of other contenders including incumbents and lesser-known names. The two-seat contest and high name recognition create a wide gap that sustains these implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHelder 87%
Edlaine Rodrigues 4.5%
Gizelle Freitas 4.3%
Conti 1.4%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Helder
87%
Edlaine Rodrigues
4%
Gizelle Freitas
4%
Conti
1%
Celso Sabino
1%
Breno Guimarães
1%
Delegado Éder Mauro
1%
Zequinha Marinho
1%
Chicão
1%
Fernanda Lopes
1%
Willem da Silva
1%
Helder 87%
Edlaine Rodrigues 4.5%
Gizelle Freitas 4.3%
Conti 1.4%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Helder
$5,922 Wol.
87%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$349 Wol.
4%
Gizelle Freitas
$330 Wol.
4%
Conti
$350 Wol.
1%
Celso Sabino
$287 Wol.
1%
Breno Guimarães
$342 Wol.
1%
Delegado Éder Mauro
$293 Wol.
1%
Zequinha Marinho
$287 Wol.
1%
Chicão
$286 Wol.
1%
Fernanda Lopes
$327 Wol.
1%
Willem da Silva
$339 Wol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds an overwhelming trader consensus at 86% for first place in the Pará Senate race, reflecting his strong position as the outgoing governor with approval ratings near 63% and deep family political roots in the state. His recent resignation to pursue the seat, combined with MDB organizational backing, has consolidated support ahead of the October 2026 vote. Recent Genial/Quaest polling shows him leading with 21-34% support depending on the scenario, well ahead of federal deputy Éder Mauro (PL) and a fragmented field of other contenders including incumbents and lesser-known names. The two-seat contest and high name recognition create a wide gap that sustains these implied probabilities.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,113Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds an overwhelming trader consensus at 86% for first place in the Pará Senate race, reflecting his strong position as the outgoing governor with approval ratings near 63% and deep family political roots in the state. His recent resignation to pursue the seat, combined with MDB organizational backing, has consolidated support ahead of the October 2026 vote. Recent Genial/Quaest polling shows him leading with 21-34% support depending on the scenario, well ahead of federal deputy Éder Mauro (PL) and a fragmented field of other contenders including incumbents and lesser-known names. The two-seat contest and high name recognition create a wide gap that sustains these implied probabilities.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$9,113Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds an overwhelming trader consensus at 86% for first place in the Pará Senate race, reflecting his strong position as the outgoing governor with approval ratings near 63% and deep family political roots in the state. His recent resignation to pursue the seat, combined with MDB organizational backing, has consolidated support ahead of the October 2026 vote. Recent Genial/Quaest polling shows him leading with 21-34% support depending on the scenario, well ahead of federal deputy Éder Mauro (PL) and a fragmented field of other contenders including incumbents and lesser-known names. The two-seat contest and high name recognition create a wide gap that sustains these implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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