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icon for Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place
Polityka·Brazylia

Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place
Polityka·Brazylia

Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place

Marcel Van Hattem 32%

Manuela D'Ávila 26%

Rigotto 12%

Pimenta 12%

Polymarket
NOWE

Marcel Van Hattem 32%

Manuela D'Ávila 26%

Rigotto 12%

Pimenta 12%

Polymarket
NOWE
icon for Marcel Van Hattem

Marcel Van Hattem

$495 Wol.

32%

icon for Manuela D'Ávila

Manuela D'Ávila

$424 Wol.

38%

icon for Rigotto

Rigotto

$196 Wol.

25%

icon for Pimenta

Pimenta

$273 Wol.

12%

icon for Sanderson

Sanderson

$177 Wol.

22%

icon for Luciano do MLB

Luciano do MLB

$506 Wol.

4%

icon for Frederico Antunes

Frederico Antunes

$105 Wol.

4%

icon for Renato Jaguarão

Renato Jaguarão

$105 Wol.

3%

icon for Ric Jones

Ric Jones

$144 Wol.

3%

icon for Milton Cardoso

Milton Cardoso

$105 Wol.

3%

icon for Regis Ethur

Regis Ethur

$172 Wol.

3%

icon for Daniela Mulheres Socialistas

Daniela Mulheres Socialistas

$156 Wol.

3%

icon for Tania Peres

Tania Peres

$365 Wol.

3%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The closely contested race for second place in Rio Grande do Sul’s October 4, 2026 Senate election reflects a fragmented field where no candidate holds a commanding lead. Recent late-July Quaest polling shows Manuela D’Ávila (PSOL) at 12 percent, followed by Germano Rigotto (MDB) and Paulo Pimenta (PT) at 9 percent each, Marcel Van Hattem (Novo) at 7 percent, and Ubiratan Sanderson (PL) at 6 percent—all within the three-point margin of error. With two seats at stake and no incumbent seeking reelection, voter preferences remain dispersed across left, center, and right-leaning options, while formal campaigning has yet to intensify. Shifts in party coalitions, turnout among key regional blocs, or late endorsements could widen gaps among the top contenders before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$3,222
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The closely contested race for second place in Rio Grande do Sul’s October 4, 2026 Senate election reflects a fragmented field where no candidate holds a commanding lead. Recent late-July Quaest polling shows Manuela D’Ávila (PSOL) at 12 percent, followed by Germano Rigotto (MDB) and Paulo Pimenta (PT) at 9 percent each, Marcel Van Hattem (Novo) at 7 percent, and Ubiratan Sanderson (PL) at 6 percent—all within the three-point margin of error. With two seats at stake and no incumbent seeking reelection, voter preferences remain dispersed across left, center, and right-leaning options, while formal campaigning has yet to intensify. Shifts in party coalitions, turnout among key regional blocs, or late endorsements could widen gaps among the top contenders before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$3,222
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Często zadawane pytania

"Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 13 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Manuela D'Ávila" z 38%, za nim "Marcel Van Hattem" z 32%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 38¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 38% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 17, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place", przeglądaj 13 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place" jest "Manuela D'Ávila" z 38%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 38% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Marcel Van Hattem" z 32%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

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