The Espírito Santo Senate race features a clear polling leader in former governor Renato Casagrande, leaving a fragmented contest for the second seat among multiple incumbents and party figures including Fabiano Contarato, Marcos do Val, Sergio Meneguelli, Rose de Freitas, Maguinha Malta, and Evair de Melo. Recent July 2026 surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data show Casagrande ahead at 24-32% while the remaining candidates cluster in the single digits to low teens, with high undecided shares sustaining volatility. This spread of viable contenders from distinct parties, combined with limited differentiation on key state issues, keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered near even odds for second place. Late-cycle endorsements, coalition alignments, or turnout shifts among specific voting blocs could still reorder the field before October balloting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoRenato Casagrande 44%
Rodney Miranda 44%
Sergio Meneguelli 44%
Professor Fabian 44%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Renato Casagrande
44%
Rodney Miranda
44%
Sergio Meneguelli
44%
Professor Fabian
44%
Rose de Freitas
44%
Callegari
42%
Leonardo Monjardim
42%
Evair de Melo
41%
Fabiano Contarato
41%
Maguinha Malta
41%
Marcos do Val
41%
Renato Casagrande 44%
Rodney Miranda 44%
Sergio Meneguelli 44%
Professor Fabian 44%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Renato Casagrande
$0 Wol.
44%
Rodney Miranda
$0 Wol.
44%
Sergio Meneguelli
$0 Wol.
44%
Professor Fabian
$0 Wol.
44%
Rose de Freitas
$0 Wol.
44%
Callegari
$0 Wol.
42%
Leonardo Monjardim
$0 Wol.
42%
Evair de Melo
$0 Wol.
41%
Fabiano Contarato
$0 Wol.
41%
Maguinha Malta
$0 Wol.
41%
Marcos do Val
$0 Wol.
41%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Espírito Santo Senate race features a clear polling leader in former governor Renato Casagrande, leaving a fragmented contest for the second seat among multiple incumbents and party figures including Fabiano Contarato, Marcos do Val, Sergio Meneguelli, Rose de Freitas, Maguinha Malta, and Evair de Melo. Recent July 2026 surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data show Casagrande ahead at 24-32% while the remaining candidates cluster in the single digits to low teens, with high undecided shares sustaining volatility. This spread of viable contenders from distinct parties, combined with limited differentiation on key state issues, keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered near even odds for second place. Late-cycle endorsements, coalition alignments, or turnout shifts among specific voting blocs could still reorder the field before October balloting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Espírito Santo Senate race features a clear polling leader in former governor Renato Casagrande, leaving a fragmented contest for the second seat among multiple incumbents and party figures including Fabiano Contarato, Marcos do Val, Sergio Meneguelli, Rose de Freitas, Maguinha Malta, and Evair de Melo. Recent July 2026 surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data show Casagrande ahead at 24-32% while the remaining candidates cluster in the single digits to low teens, with high undecided shares sustaining volatility. This spread of viable contenders from distinct parties, combined with limited differentiation on key state issues, keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered near even odds for second place. Late-cycle endorsements, coalition alignments, or turnout shifts among specific voting blocs could still reorder the field before October balloting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo Senate race features a clear polling leader in former governor Renato Casagrande, leaving a fragmented contest for the second seat among multiple incumbents and party figures including Fabiano Contarato, Marcos do Val, Sergio Meneguelli, Rose de Freitas, Maguinha Malta, and Evair de Melo. Recent July 2026 surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data show Casagrande ahead at 24-32% while the remaining candidates cluster in the single digits to low teens, with high undecided shares sustaining volatility. This spread of viable contenders from distinct parties, combined with limited differentiation on key state issues, keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered near even odds for second place. Late-cycle endorsements, coalition alignments, or turnout shifts among specific voting blocs could still reorder the field before October balloting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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