The Paraíba 2026 gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented and competitive heading into October, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty across a wide field rather than any dominant frontrunner. Recent Real Time Big Data polling from late May showed Lucas Ribeiro (PP) and Cícero Lucena (MDB) in a technical first-round tie at roughly 30% and 28%, followed by Efraim Filho (PL) near 19%, consistent with earlier surveys that have fluctuated between these names since early 2026. Cícero Lucena’s April resignation as João Pessoa mayor to enter the contest consolidated some MDB-aligned support but has not produced a clear separation, while alliances, regional voting patterns in Campina Grande and the interior, and second-round runoff dynamics continue to keep multiple outcomes viable in the eyes of bettors. No major new endorsements, scandals, or campaign shifts have altered the balance in the past month.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCícero Lucena 32%
Efraim Filho 31%
Marcelo Queiroga 7.3%
Romero Rodrigues 7.3%
$16,077 Wol.
$16,077 Wol.
Oct 5, 2026
Cícero Lucena
32%
Efraim Filho
31%
Marcelo Queiroga
23%
Romero Rodrigues
7%
Nilvan Ferreira
6%
Flávio Lúcio
2%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
1%
Cícero Lucena 32%
Efraim Filho 31%
Marcelo Queiroga 7.3%
Romero Rodrigues 7.3%
$16,077 Wol.
$16,077 Wol.
Oct 5, 2026
Cícero Lucena
$12,558 Wol.
32%
Efraim Filho
$1,014 Wol.
31%
Marcelo Queiroga
$131 Wol.
23%
Romero Rodrigues
$735 Wol.
7%
Nilvan Ferreira
$81 Wol.
6%
Flávio Lúcio
$170 Wol.
2%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
$1,389 Wol.
1%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraíba 2026 gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented and competitive heading into October, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty across a wide field rather than any dominant frontrunner. Recent Real Time Big Data polling from late May showed Lucas Ribeiro (PP) and Cícero Lucena (MDB) in a technical first-round tie at roughly 30% and 28%, followed by Efraim Filho (PL) near 19%, consistent with earlier surveys that have fluctuated between these names since early 2026. Cícero Lucena’s April resignation as João Pessoa mayor to enter the contest consolidated some MDB-aligned support but has not produced a clear separation, while alliances, regional voting patterns in Campina Grande and the interior, and second-round runoff dynamics continue to keep multiple outcomes viable in the eyes of bettors. No major new endorsements, scandals, or campaign shifts have altered the balance in the past month.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
Wolumen
$16,077Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraíba 2026 gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented and competitive heading into October, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty across a wide field rather than any dominant frontrunner. Recent Real Time Big Data polling from late May showed Lucas Ribeiro (PP) and Cícero Lucena (MDB) in a technical first-round tie at roughly 30% and 28%, followed by Efraim Filho (PL) near 19%, consistent with earlier surveys that have fluctuated between these names since early 2026. Cícero Lucena’s April resignation as João Pessoa mayor to enter the contest consolidated some MDB-aligned support but has not produced a clear separation, while alliances, regional voting patterns in Campina Grande and the interior, and second-round runoff dynamics continue to keep multiple outcomes viable in the eyes of bettors. No major new endorsements, scandals, or campaign shifts have altered the balance in the past month.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$16,077Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba 2026 gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented and competitive heading into October, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty across a wide field rather than any dominant frontrunner. Recent Real Time Big Data polling from late May showed Lucas Ribeiro (PP) and Cícero Lucena (MDB) in a technical first-round tie at roughly 30% and 28%, followed by Efraim Filho (PL) near 19%, consistent with earlier surveys that have fluctuated between these names since early 2026. Cícero Lucena’s April resignation as João Pessoa mayor to enter the contest consolidated some MDB-aligned support but has not produced a clear separation, while alliances, regional voting patterns in Campina Grande and the interior, and second-round runoff dynamics continue to keep multiple outcomes viable in the eyes of bettors. No major new endorsements, scandals, or campaign shifts have altered the balance in the past month.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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