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Ambassador predictions & odds

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Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

38%

$28.8K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

27%

$15.2K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

56%

Steve Witkoff

$1M Vol.

$112K Liq.

70

Ends in about 2 months

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

4%

May 31

$28.9K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

8

Ends in 17 days

Who will meet with Iran by May 31?

Who will meet with Iran by May 31?

21%

Jared Kushner

$79.0K Vol.

$64.6K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

26%

$5.6K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

88%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

7%

$50.6K Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$136K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

10

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

85%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.3K Vol.

$20.0K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

15%

December 31, 2026

$1M Vol.

$148K today

$41.3K Liq.

10

Ends in 8 months

Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

71%

No Bond chosen

$2M Vol.

$47.3K Liq.

25

Ends in about 2 months

Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?

Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?

11%

$27.6K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

48%

June 30, 2027

$477K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

33

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

5%

Any U.S. House member

$387K Vol.

$114K Liq.

4

Ends in about 2 months

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

43%

Petro - Colombia President

$279K Vol.

$122K today

$312K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

14%

$8.0K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

26%

$153K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Russian strike on Poland by...?

Russian strike on Poland by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$47.4K Liq.

251

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

6%

June 30

$592K Vol.

$14.8K Liq.

38

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Ambassador.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Ambassador that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $11.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 84% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Ambassador predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.